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Main Authors: Tang, Shuo, Zhang, Jiadong, Xu, Jian, Zhou, Gengxian, Jin, Qizhao, Wang, Qinxuan, Hu, Yi, Hu, Ning, Ren, Hongchang, He, Lingli, Fu, Jiaolan, Ding, Jingtao, Xiang, Shiming, Liu, Chenglin
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.01121
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author Tang, Shuo
Zhang, Jiadong
Xu, Jian
Zhou, Gengxian
Jin, Qizhao
Wang, Qinxuan
Hu, Yi
Hu, Ning
Ren, Hongchang
He, Lingli
Fu, Jiaolan
Ding, Jingtao
Xiang, Shiming
Liu, Chenglin
author_facet Tang, Shuo
Zhang, Jiadong
Xu, Jian
Zhou, Gengxian
Jin, Qizhao
Wang, Qinxuan
Hu, Yi
Hu, Ning
Ren, Hongchang
He, Lingli
Fu, Jiaolan
Ding, Jingtao
Xiang, Shiming
Liu, Chenglin
contents While deep learning-based weather forecasting paradigms have made significant strides, addressing extreme weather diagnostics remains a formidable challenge. This gap exists primarily because the diagnostic process demands sophisticated multi-step logical reasoning, dynamic tool invocation, and expert-level prior judgment. Although agents possess inherent advantages in task decomposition and autonomous execution, current architectures are still hampered by critical bottlenecks: inadequate expert knowledge integration, a lack of professional-grade iterative reasoning loops, and the absence of fine-grained validation and evaluation systems for complex workflows under extreme conditions. To this end, we propose HVR-Met, a multi-agent meteorological diagnostic system characterized by the deep integration of expert knowledge. Its central innovation is the ``Hypothesis-Verification-Replanning'' closed-loop mechanism, which facilitates sophisticated iterative reasoning for anomalous meteorological signals during extreme weather events. To bridge gaps within existing evaluation frameworks, we further introduce a novel benchmark focused on atomic-level subtasks. Experimental evidence demonstrates that the system excels in complex diagnostic scenarios.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_01121
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle HVR-Met: A Hypothesis-Verification-Replaning Agentic System for Extreme Weather Diagnosis
Tang, Shuo
Zhang, Jiadong
Xu, Jian
Zhou, Gengxian
Jin, Qizhao
Wang, Qinxuan
Hu, Yi
Hu, Ning
Ren, Hongchang
He, Lingli
Fu, Jiaolan
Ding, Jingtao
Xiang, Shiming
Liu, Chenglin
Artificial Intelligence
While deep learning-based weather forecasting paradigms have made significant strides, addressing extreme weather diagnostics remains a formidable challenge. This gap exists primarily because the diagnostic process demands sophisticated multi-step logical reasoning, dynamic tool invocation, and expert-level prior judgment. Although agents possess inherent advantages in task decomposition and autonomous execution, current architectures are still hampered by critical bottlenecks: inadequate expert knowledge integration, a lack of professional-grade iterative reasoning loops, and the absence of fine-grained validation and evaluation systems for complex workflows under extreme conditions. To this end, we propose HVR-Met, a multi-agent meteorological diagnostic system characterized by the deep integration of expert knowledge. Its central innovation is the ``Hypothesis-Verification-Replanning'' closed-loop mechanism, which facilitates sophisticated iterative reasoning for anomalous meteorological signals during extreme weather events. To bridge gaps within existing evaluation frameworks, we further introduce a novel benchmark focused on atomic-level subtasks. Experimental evidence demonstrates that the system excels in complex diagnostic scenarios.
title HVR-Met: A Hypothesis-Verification-Replaning Agentic System for Extreme Weather Diagnosis
topic Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.01121