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| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Preprint |
| Published: |
2026
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.01283 |
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Table of Contents:
- Deployed reinforcement learning systems lack a principled runtime reliability theory. We close this gap by introducing Bipredictability, P, a closed form information theoretic metric that quantifies how efficiently a closed loop interaction between agent and environment converts uncertainty into shared predictability. P admits a provable classical bound P equal, smaller than 0.5, derived from Shannon entropy subadditivity, and responsive agency necessarily suppresses P below this ceiling, a structural prediction we term the informational cost of agency. Across 21 trained continuous control agents, we confirm this prediction empirically at P = 0.33 plus minus 0.02. The same suppression signature reproduces in language model dialogue, convolutional vision systems, and classical mechanical baselines, indicating that P captures a substrate independent property of agentic interaction rather than an algorithm specific artifact. The Information Digital Twin, IDT, a model agnostic architecture that computes P from the external interaction stream, detects 89.3% of coupling degradations against 44.0% for reward based monitoring, with 4.4 times lower latency. P provides the missing measurement layer for runtime reliability and closed loop self regulation in deployed autonomous systems.