The Finality Calculator: Analyzing and Quantifying Filecoin's Finality Guarantees

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Goren, Guy, Soares, Jorge M.
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Goren, Guy
Soares, Jorge M.
author_facet Goren, Guy
Soares, Jorge M.
contents In this paper, we analyze the finality of the Filecoin network, focusing on dynamic probabilistic guarantees of tipset permanence in the canonical chain. Our approach differs from static analyses that consider only the worst-case scenario; instead, we dynamically compute the error probability at each round using the live chain history, providing a more accurate and efficient assessment. We provide a practical algorithm that only requires visibility into the blocks produced by honest participants, which can be implemented by clients or off-chain applications without any change to Filecoin's consensus mechanisms.We demonstrate that, under typical operating conditions, the sought-after error probability of $2^{-30}$ is achievable in approximately 30 rounds, a 30x improvement over the 900 rounds that the network currently encodes as a fixed threshold. This finding immediately expedites transactions and enhances usability of the Filecoin network, while laying the foundation for further analysis of other DAG-structured blockchains.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_01307
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Finality Calculator: Analyzing and Quantifying Filecoin's Finality Guarantees
Goren, Guy
Soares, Jorge M.
Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing
Cryptography and Security
In this paper, we analyze the finality of the Filecoin network, focusing on dynamic probabilistic guarantees of tipset permanence in the canonical chain. Our approach differs from static analyses that consider only the worst-case scenario; instead, we dynamically compute the error probability at each round using the live chain history, providing a more accurate and efficient assessment. We provide a practical algorithm that only requires visibility into the blocks produced by honest participants, which can be implemented by clients or off-chain applications without any change to Filecoin's consensus mechanisms.We demonstrate that, under typical operating conditions, the sought-after error probability of $2^{-30}$ is achievable in approximately 30 rounds, a 30x improvement over the 900 rounds that the network currently encodes as a fixed threshold. This finding immediately expedites transactions and enhances usability of the Filecoin network, while laying the foundation for further analysis of other DAG-structured blockchains.
title The Finality Calculator: Analyzing and Quantifying Filecoin's Finality Guarantees
topic Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing
Cryptography and Security
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.01307