DUEL: Exact Likelihood for Masked Diffusion via Deterministic Unmasking

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Turok, Gilad, De Sa, Chris, Kuleshov, Volodymyr
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2026
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author Turok, Gilad
De Sa, Chris
Kuleshov, Volodymyr
author_facet Turok, Gilad
De Sa, Chris
Kuleshov, Volodymyr
contents Masked diffusion models (MDMs) generate text by iteratively selecting positions to unmask and then predicting tokens at those positions. Yet MDMs lack proper likelihood evaluation: the evidence lower bound (ELBO) is not only a loose bound on log-likelihood, but, as we show, is also computed under the training distribution rather than the test-time distribution. We resolve this within our DUEL framework, which unifies leading MDM sampling strategies that employ $\textit{deterministic}$ position selection. We prove that DUEL samplers admit $\textbf{exact likelihood computation under the test-time distribution}$ -- giving MDMs $\textit{proper}$ likelihood, and hence proper perplexity, for the first time. This proper perplexity is the natural analogue of autoregressive perplexity and lets us revisit key questions about MDMs. $\textbf{MDMs are substantially better than previously thought}$: the MDM-autoregressive perplexity gap shrinks by up to $32\%$ on in-domain data and $82\%$ on zero-shot benchmarks. DUEL enables the first principled comparison of fast,parallel samplers across compute budgets -- an analysis impossible with the ELBO and unreliable with generative perplexity -- identifying a strong default method. Finally, oracle search over position orderings reveals MDMs can far surpass autoregressive models -- achieving $36.47$ vs. $52.11$ perplexity on AG News -- demonstrating the ceiling of MDM performance has not yet been reached.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_01367
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle DUEL: Exact Likelihood for Masked Diffusion via Deterministic Unmasking
Turok, Gilad
De Sa, Chris
Kuleshov, Volodymyr
Machine Learning
Masked diffusion models (MDMs) generate text by iteratively selecting positions to unmask and then predicting tokens at those positions. Yet MDMs lack proper likelihood evaluation: the evidence lower bound (ELBO) is not only a loose bound on log-likelihood, but, as we show, is also computed under the training distribution rather than the test-time distribution. We resolve this within our DUEL framework, which unifies leading MDM sampling strategies that employ $\textit{deterministic}$ position selection. We prove that DUEL samplers admit $\textbf{exact likelihood computation under the test-time distribution}$ -- giving MDMs $\textit{proper}$ likelihood, and hence proper perplexity, for the first time. This proper perplexity is the natural analogue of autoregressive perplexity and lets us revisit key questions about MDMs. $\textbf{MDMs are substantially better than previously thought}$: the MDM-autoregressive perplexity gap shrinks by up to $32\%$ on in-domain data and $82\%$ on zero-shot benchmarks. DUEL enables the first principled comparison of fast,parallel samplers across compute budgets -- an analysis impossible with the ELBO and unreliable with generative perplexity -- identifying a strong default method. Finally, oracle search over position orderings reveals MDMs can far surpass autoregressive models -- achieving $36.47$ vs. $52.11$ perplexity on AG News -- demonstrating the ceiling of MDM performance has not yet been reached.
title DUEL: Exact Likelihood for Masked Diffusion via Deterministic Unmasking
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.01367