Event-Only Drone Trajectory Forecasting with RPM-Modulated Kalman Filtering

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: M., Hari Prasanth S., Habibiroudkenar, Pejman, Alamikkotervo, Eerik, Bouzoulas, Dimitrios, Ojala, Risto
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author M., Hari Prasanth S.
Habibiroudkenar, Pejman
Alamikkotervo, Eerik
Bouzoulas, Dimitrios
Ojala, Risto
author_facet M., Hari Prasanth S.
Habibiroudkenar, Pejman
Alamikkotervo, Eerik
Bouzoulas, Dimitrios
Ojala, Risto
contents Event cameras provide high-temporal-resolution visual sensing that is well suited for observing fast-moving aerial objects; however, their use for drone trajectory prediction remains limited. This work introduces an event-only drone forecasting method that exploits propeller-induced motion cues. Propeller rotational speed are extracted directly from raw event data and fused within an RPM-aware Kalman filtering framework. Evaluations on the FRED dataset show that the proposed method outperforms learning-based approaches and vanilla kalman filter in terms of average distance error and final distance error at 0.4s and 0.8s forecasting horizons. The results demonstrate robust and accurate short- and medium-horizon trajectory forecasting without reliance on RGB imagery or training data.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_01997
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Event-Only Drone Trajectory Forecasting with RPM-Modulated Kalman Filtering
M., Hari Prasanth S.
Habibiroudkenar, Pejman
Alamikkotervo, Eerik
Bouzoulas, Dimitrios
Ojala, Risto
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Robotics
Image and Video Processing
Event cameras provide high-temporal-resolution visual sensing that is well suited for observing fast-moving aerial objects; however, their use for drone trajectory prediction remains limited. This work introduces an event-only drone forecasting method that exploits propeller-induced motion cues. Propeller rotational speed are extracted directly from raw event data and fused within an RPM-aware Kalman filtering framework. Evaluations on the FRED dataset show that the proposed method outperforms learning-based approaches and vanilla kalman filter in terms of average distance error and final distance error at 0.4s and 0.8s forecasting horizons. The results demonstrate robust and accurate short- and medium-horizon trajectory forecasting without reliance on RGB imagery or training data.
title Event-Only Drone Trajectory Forecasting with RPM-Modulated Kalman Filtering
topic Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Robotics
Image and Video Processing
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.01997