Topological Causal Effects

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Kim, Kwangho, Lee, Hajin
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
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author Kim, Kwangho
Lee, Hajin
author_facet Kim, Kwangho
Lee, Hajin
contents Estimating causal effects is particularly challenging when outcomes arise in complex, non-Euclidean spaces, where conventional methods often fail to capture meaningful structural variation. We develop a framework for topological causal inference that defines treatment effects through differences in the topological structure of potential outcomes, summarized by power-weighted silhouette functions of persistence diagrams. We develop an efficient, doubly robust estimator in a fully nonparametric model, establish functional weak convergence, and construct a formal test of the null hypothesis of no topological effect. Empirical studies illustrate that the proposed method reliably quantifies topological treatment effects across diverse complex outcome types.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_02289
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Topological Causal Effects
Kim, Kwangho
Lee, Hajin
Methodology
Machine Learning
Estimating causal effects is particularly challenging when outcomes arise in complex, non-Euclidean spaces, where conventional methods often fail to capture meaningful structural variation. We develop a framework for topological causal inference that defines treatment effects through differences in the topological structure of potential outcomes, summarized by power-weighted silhouette functions of persistence diagrams. We develop an efficient, doubly robust estimator in a fully nonparametric model, establish functional weak convergence, and construct a formal test of the null hypothesis of no topological effect. Empirical studies illustrate that the proposed method reliably quantifies topological treatment effects across diverse complex outcome types.
title Topological Causal Effects
topic Methodology
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.02289