Quantile-based modeling of scale dynamics in financial returns for Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall forecasting
Fuente:
arXiv
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | Liu, Xiaochun, Luger, Richard |
|---|---|
| Format: | Preprint |
| Published: |
2026
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
Similar Items
Combining Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall forecasts via the Model Confidence Set
by: Amendola, Alessandra, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Amendola, Alessandra, et al.
Published: (2024)
Heterogeneous Exposures to Systematic and Idiosyncratic Risk across Crypto Assets: A Divide-and-Conquer Approach
by: Aslanidis, Nektarios, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Aslanidis, Nektarios, et al.
Published: (2025)
Systemic Risk Surveillance
by: Dimitriadis, Timo, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Dimitriadis, Timo, et al.
Published: (2026)
Combining a Large Pool of Forecasts of Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall
by: Taylor, James W., et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Taylor, James W., et al.
Published: (2025)
Principal Component Copulas for Capital Modelling and Systemic Risk
by: Gubbels, K. B., et al.
Published: (2023)
by: Gubbels, K. B., et al.
Published: (2023)
Extrapolating the long-term seasonal component of electricity prices for forecasting in the day-ahead market
by: Chęć, Katarzyna, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Chęć, Katarzyna, et al.
Published: (2025)
Transformer-based CoVaR: Systemic Risk in Textual Information
by: Chen, Junyu, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Chen, Junyu, et al.
Published: (2026)
Dynamic Factor Correlation Model
by: Tong, Chen, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Tong, Chen, et al.
Published: (2025)
Cluster GARCH
by: Tong, Chen, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Tong, Chen, et al.
Published: (2024)
Testing for the Asymmetric Optimal Hedge Ratios: With an Application to Bitcoin
by: Hatemi-J, Abdulnasser
Published: (2024)
by: Hatemi-J, Abdulnasser
Published: (2024)
Multivariate GARCH and portfolio variance prediction: A forecast reconciliation perspective
by: Caporin, Massimiliano, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Caporin, Massimiliano, et al.
Published: (2026)
A tail-shape actuarial index based on equal level relationships between Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall
by: Papayiannis, Georgios I., et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Papayiannis, Georgios I., et al.
Published: (2025)
Dynamic Risk in the U.S. Banking System: An Analysis of Sentiment, Policy Shocks, and Spillover Effects
by: Wang, Haibo, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Wang, Haibo, et al.
Published: (2026)
LLM-Generated Counterfactual Stress Scenarios for Portfolio Risk Simulation via Hybrid Prompt-RAG Pipeline
by: Soleimani, Masoud
Published: (2025)
by: Soleimani, Masoud
Published: (2025)
Modeling Bank Systemic Risk of Emerging Markets under Geopolitical Shocks: Empirical Evidence from BRICS Countries
by: Wang, Haibo
Published: (2025)
by: Wang, Haibo
Published: (2025)
CAESar: Conditional Autoregressive Expected Shortfall
by: Gatta, Federico, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Gatta, Federico, et al.
Published: (2024)
Spectral Dynamics and Regularization for High-Dimensional Copulas
by: Gubbels, Koos B., et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Gubbels, Koos B., et al.
Published: (2026)
Spot Regressions with Candlesticks
by: Simsek, Yasin
Published: (2025)
by: Simsek, Yasin
Published: (2025)
Autoencoder Enhanced Realised GARCH on Volatility Forecasting
by: Zhao, Qianli, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Zhao, Qianli, et al.
Published: (2024)
Norms Based on Generalized Expected-Shortfalls and Applications
by: Gong, Shuyu, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Gong, Shuyu, et al.
Published: (2025)
Lambda Expected Shortfall
by: Bellini, Fabio, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Bellini, Fabio, et al.
Published: (2025)
Efficient Sampling for Realized Variance Estimation in Time-Changed Diffusion Models
by: Dimitriadis, Timo, et al.
Published: (2022)
by: Dimitriadis, Timo, et al.
Published: (2022)
Dynamic Spatial Treatment Effects and Network Fragility: Theory and Evidence from the 2008 Financial Crisis
by: Kikuchi, Tatsuru
Published: (2025)
by: Kikuchi, Tatsuru
Published: (2025)
On Joint Marginal Expected Shortfall and Associated Contribution Risk Measures
by: Pu, Tong, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Pu, Tong, et al.
Published: (2024)
Event-Driven Market Co-Movement Dynamics in Critical Mineral Equities: An Empirical Framework Using Change Point Detection and Cross-Sectional Analysis
by: Wang, Haibo
Published: (2026)
by: Wang, Haibo
Published: (2026)
Statistical Inference for Score Decompositions
by: Dimitriadis, Timo, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Dimitriadis, Timo, et al.
Published: (2026)
Dynamic CoVaR Modeling and Estimation
by: Dimitriadis, Timo, et al.
Published: (2022)
by: Dimitriadis, Timo, et al.
Published: (2022)
General Equilibrium Amplification and Crisis Vulnerability: Cross-Crisis Evidence from Global Banks
by: Kikuchi, Tatsuru
Published: (2025)
by: Kikuchi, Tatsuru
Published: (2025)
Asymptotic Properties of Generalized Shortfall Risk Measures for Heavy-tailed Risks
by: Mao, Tiantian, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Mao, Tiantian, et al.
Published: (2024)
The Innovation Tax: Generative AI Adoption, Productivity Paradox, and Systemic Risk in the U.S. Banking Sector
by: Kikuchi, Tatsuru
Published: (2026)
by: Kikuchi, Tatsuru
Published: (2026)
Backtesting Expected Shortfall: Accounting for both duration and severity with bivariate orthogonal polynomials
by: Hué, Sullivan, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Hué, Sullivan, et al.
Published: (2024)
Sequential Audit Sampling with Statistical Guarantees
by: Kato, Masahiro, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Kato, Masahiro, et al.
Published: (2026)
Regularizing stock return covariance matrices via multiple testing of correlations
by: Luger, Richard
Published: (2024)
by: Luger, Richard
Published: (2024)
Semi-parametric financial risk forecasting incorporating multiple realized measures
by: Peiris, Rangika, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Peiris, Rangika, et al.
Published: (2024)
A nonparametric test for rough volatility
by: Chong, Carsten H., et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Chong, Carsten H., et al.
Published: (2024)
Self-Normalized Inference in (Quantile, Expected Shortfall) Regressions for Time Series
by: Hoga, Yannick, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Hoga, Yannick, et al.
Published: (2025)
Value-at-Risk- and Expectile-based Systemic Risk Measures and Second-order Asymptotics: With Applications to Diversification
by: Geng, Bingzhen, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Geng, Bingzhen, et al.
Published: (2024)
On the modeling assumptions of Historical Simulation for Value-at-Risk
by: Grelsson, Björn Löfdahl
Published: (2026)
by: Grelsson, Björn Löfdahl
Published: (2026)
Asymptotic Error Analysis of Multilevel Stochastic Approximations for the Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall
by: Crépey, Stéphane, et al.
Published: (2023)
by: Crépey, Stéphane, et al.
Published: (2023)
Forecasting and Backtesting Gradient Allocations of Expected Shortfall
by: Koike, Takaaki, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Koike, Takaaki, et al.
Published: (2024)
Similar Items
-
Combining Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall forecasts via the Model Confidence Set
by: Amendola, Alessandra, et al.
Published: (2024) -
Heterogeneous Exposures to Systematic and Idiosyncratic Risk across Crypto Assets: A Divide-and-Conquer Approach
by: Aslanidis, Nektarios, et al.
Published: (2025) -
Systemic Risk Surveillance
by: Dimitriadis, Timo, et al.
Published: (2026) -
Combining a Large Pool of Forecasts of Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall
by: Taylor, James W., et al.
Published: (2025) -
Principal Component Copulas for Capital Modelling and Systemic Risk
by: Gubbels, K. B., et al.
Published: (2023)