The Cost of Circularity: Quantifying Eccentricity-Induced Biases in Binary Black Hole Inference

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: RoyChowdhury, Tamal, Gayathri, V., Gamba, Rossella, Bhaumik, Shubhagata, Bartos, Imre, Creighton, Jolien
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author RoyChowdhury, Tamal
Gayathri, V.
Gamba, Rossella
Bhaumik, Shubhagata
Bartos, Imre
Creighton, Jolien
author_facet RoyChowdhury, Tamal
Gayathri, V.
Gamba, Rossella
Bhaumik, Shubhagata
Bartos, Imre
Creighton, Jolien
contents Dynamically assembled binary black holes are expected to retain measurable orbital eccentricity in the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA band, but most parameter estimation analyses still assume quasi-circular inspirals. This raises a critical question: how strongly does unmodeled eccentricity bias the inferred properties of BBH mergers? We address this by injecting eccentric signals generated with TEOBResumS-Dali and recovering them using the circular, precessing IMRPhenomXPHM waveform model. Across $20$-$80 \, M_\odot$ and eccentricities up to $e=0.5$, we find that circular waveform models remain reliable only for very small eccentricities. Above $e\sim0.2$ at 10 Hz, recovered masses, spins, inclination, and distances begin to show significant systematic offsets. Circular precessing templates mimic eccentric amplitude and phase modulations by introducing artificial precession, highlighting a major degeneracy between these effects. For high-mass, moderately eccentric mergers, circular models misestimate parameters at a level that would bias astrophysical interpretation and population studies. Our results establish the parameter-space boundaries where eccentric waveform models become essential for accurate inference in current and next-generation detectors.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_02453
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Cost of Circularity: Quantifying Eccentricity-Induced Biases in Binary Black Hole Inference
RoyChowdhury, Tamal
Gayathri, V.
Gamba, Rossella
Bhaumik, Shubhagata
Bartos, Imre
Creighton, Jolien
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
Dynamically assembled binary black holes are expected to retain measurable orbital eccentricity in the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA band, but most parameter estimation analyses still assume quasi-circular inspirals. This raises a critical question: how strongly does unmodeled eccentricity bias the inferred properties of BBH mergers? We address this by injecting eccentric signals generated with TEOBResumS-Dali and recovering them using the circular, precessing IMRPhenomXPHM waveform model. Across $20$-$80 \, M_\odot$ and eccentricities up to $e=0.5$, we find that circular waveform models remain reliable only for very small eccentricities. Above $e\sim0.2$ at 10 Hz, recovered masses, spins, inclination, and distances begin to show significant systematic offsets. Circular precessing templates mimic eccentric amplitude and phase modulations by introducing artificial precession, highlighting a major degeneracy between these effects. For high-mass, moderately eccentric mergers, circular models misestimate parameters at a level that would bias astrophysical interpretation and population studies. Our results establish the parameter-space boundaries where eccentric waveform models become essential for accurate inference in current and next-generation detectors.
title The Cost of Circularity: Quantifying Eccentricity-Induced Biases in Binary Black Hole Inference
topic General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.02453