Focused Weighted-Average Least Squares Estimator
Fuente:
arXiv
Enregistré dans:
| Auteur principal: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Preprint |
| Publié: |
2026
|
| Sujets: | |
| Accès en ligne: | |
| Tags: |
Ajouter un tag
Pas de tags, Soyez le premier à ajouter un tag!
|
| _version_ | 1866908862467014656 |
|---|---|
| author | Yin, Shou-Yung |
| author_facet | Yin, Shou-Yung |
| contents | We propose a focused weighted-average least squares (FWALS) estimator that addresses the computational burden of focused model averaging. By semi-orthogonalizing auxiliary regressors, the weighting problem is reduced from $2^{k_2}$ sub-models to at most $k_2$ regressor-wise weights, yielding a tractable sub-optimal procedure. Under local-to-zero conditions, we derive the limiting distribution of FWALS for smooth focused functions and provide a plug-in AMSE criterion for data-driven weight selection. Simulations show that FWALS closely matches the focused information criterion (FIC) benchmark and delivers stable performance when focused function is designed for impulse response function. Prior-based WALS can be competitive in some settings, but its performance depends on the signal regime and the design of focused parameter. Overall, FWALS offers a practical and robust alternative with substantial computational savings. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_03008 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2026 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Focused Weighted-Average Least Squares Estimator Yin, Shou-Yung Econometrics Methodology We propose a focused weighted-average least squares (FWALS) estimator that addresses the computational burden of focused model averaging. By semi-orthogonalizing auxiliary regressors, the weighting problem is reduced from $2^{k_2}$ sub-models to at most $k_2$ regressor-wise weights, yielding a tractable sub-optimal procedure. Under local-to-zero conditions, we derive the limiting distribution of FWALS for smooth focused functions and provide a plug-in AMSE criterion for data-driven weight selection. Simulations show that FWALS closely matches the focused information criterion (FIC) benchmark and delivers stable performance when focused function is designed for impulse response function. Prior-based WALS can be competitive in some settings, but its performance depends on the signal regime and the design of focused parameter. Overall, FWALS offers a practical and robust alternative with substantial computational savings. |
| title | Focused Weighted-Average Least Squares Estimator |
| topic | Econometrics Methodology |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.03008 |