How Predicted Links Influence Network Evolution: Disentangling Choice and Algorithmic Feedback in Dynamic Graphs

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Perez, Mathilde, Romero, Raphaël, Lijffijt, Jefrey, Laclau, Charlotte
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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author Perez, Mathilde
Romero, Raphaël
Lijffijt, Jefrey
Laclau, Charlotte
author_facet Perez, Mathilde
Romero, Raphaël
Lijffijt, Jefrey
Laclau, Charlotte
contents Link prediction models are increasingly used to recommend interactions in evolving networks, yet their impact on network structure is typically assessed from static snapshots. In particular, observed homophily conflates intrinsic interaction tendencies with amplification effects induced by network dynamics and algorithmic feedback. We propose a temporal framework based on multivariate Hawkes processes that disentangles these two sources and introduce an instantaneous bias measure derived from interaction intensities, capturing current reinforcement dynamics beyond cumulative metrics. We provide a theoretical characterization of the stability and convergence of the induced dynamics, and experiments show that the proposed measure reliably reflects algorithmic feedback effects across different link prediction strategies.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_03945
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle How Predicted Links Influence Network Evolution: Disentangling Choice and Algorithmic Feedback in Dynamic Graphs
Perez, Mathilde
Romero, Raphaël
Lijffijt, Jefrey
Laclau, Charlotte
Social and Information Networks
Machine Learning
Link prediction models are increasingly used to recommend interactions in evolving networks, yet their impact on network structure is typically assessed from static snapshots. In particular, observed homophily conflates intrinsic interaction tendencies with amplification effects induced by network dynamics and algorithmic feedback. We propose a temporal framework based on multivariate Hawkes processes that disentangles these two sources and introduce an instantaneous bias measure derived from interaction intensities, capturing current reinforcement dynamics beyond cumulative metrics. We provide a theoretical characterization of the stability and convergence of the induced dynamics, and experiments show that the proposed measure reliably reflects algorithmic feedback effects across different link prediction strategies.
title How Predicted Links Influence Network Evolution: Disentangling Choice and Algorithmic Feedback in Dynamic Graphs
topic Social and Information Networks
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.03945