The "Gold Rush" in AI and Robotics Patenting Activity. Do innovation systems have a role?

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Guidetti, Giovanni, Leoncini, Riccardo, Macaluso, Mariele
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
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author Guidetti, Giovanni
Leoncini, Riccardo
Macaluso, Mariele
author_facet Guidetti, Giovanni
Leoncini, Riccardo
Macaluso, Mariele
contents This paper studies patenting trends in artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics from 1980 to 2019. We introduce a novel distinction between traditional robotics and robotics embedding AI functionalities. Using patent data and a time-series econometric approach, we examine whether these domains share common long-run dynamics and how their trajectories differ across major innovation systems. Three main findings emerge. First, patenting activity in core AI, traditional robots, and AI-enhanced robots follows distinct trajectories, with AI-enhanced robotics accelerating sharply from the early 2010s. Second, structural breaks occur predominantly after 2010, indicating an acceleration in the technological dynamics associated with AI diffusion. Third, long-run relationships between AI and robotics vary systematically across countries: China exhibits strong integration between core AI and AI-enhanced robots, alongside a substantial contribution from universities and the public sector, whereas the United States displays a more market-oriented patenting structure and weaker integration between AI and robots. Europe, Japan, and South Korea show intermediate patterns.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_05034
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The "Gold Rush" in AI and Robotics Patenting Activity. Do innovation systems have a role?
Guidetti, Giovanni
Leoncini, Riccardo
Macaluso, Mariele
General Economics
Economics
This paper studies patenting trends in artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics from 1980 to 2019. We introduce a novel distinction between traditional robotics and robotics embedding AI functionalities. Using patent data and a time-series econometric approach, we examine whether these domains share common long-run dynamics and how their trajectories differ across major innovation systems. Three main findings emerge. First, patenting activity in core AI, traditional robots, and AI-enhanced robots follows distinct trajectories, with AI-enhanced robotics accelerating sharply from the early 2010s. Second, structural breaks occur predominantly after 2010, indicating an acceleration in the technological dynamics associated with AI diffusion. Third, long-run relationships between AI and robotics vary systematically across countries: China exhibits strong integration between core AI and AI-enhanced robots, alongside a substantial contribution from universities and the public sector, whereas the United States displays a more market-oriented patenting structure and weaker integration between AI and robots. Europe, Japan, and South Korea show intermediate patterns.
title The "Gold Rush" in AI and Robotics Patenting Activity. Do innovation systems have a role?
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.05034