Cover Image

At-Risk Transformation for U.S. Recession Prediction

Fuente: arXiv

Saved in:

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Billakanti, Rahul, Shin, Minchul
Format:	Preprint
Published:	2026
Subjects:	Econometrics Applications
Online Access:	Acceder al recurso
Tags:	Add Tag No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!

Similar Items

ForeComp: An R Package for Comparing Predictive Accuracy Using Fixed-Smoothing Asymptotics
by: Shin, Minchul, et al.
Published: (2026)

On the Wisdom of Crowds (of Economists)
by: Diebold, Francis X., et al.
Published: (2025)

Econometric Analysis of Pandemic Disruption and Recovery Trajectory in the U.S. Rail Freight Industry
by: Ng, Max T. M., et al.
Published: (2024)

A Korean Macroeconomic Database for Data-Rich Policy Analysis and U.S.--Korea Dependence
by: Baek, Changryong, et al.
Published: (2025)

100-Day Analysis of USD/IDR Exchange Rate Dynamics Around the 2025 U.S. Presidential Inauguration
by: Herho, Sandy H. S., et al.
Published: (2025)

Robust Bond Risk Premia Predictability Test in the Quantiles
by: Liao, Xiaosai, et al.
Published: (2024)

A Simulated Reconstruction and Reidentification Attack on the 2010 U.S. Census
by: Abowd, John M., et al.
Published: (2023)

Difference-in-differences Design with Outcomes Missing Not at Random
by: Shin, Sooahn
Published: (2024)

Evaluating financial tail risk forecasts: Testing Equal Predictive Ability
by: Bauer, Lukas
Published: (2025)

Predictive Synthesis under Sporadic Participation: Evidence from Inflation Density Surveys
by: Johnson, Matthew C., et al.
Published: (2026)

An Auditable AI Agent Loop for Empirical Economics: A Case Study in Forecast Combination
by: Shin, Minchul
Published: (2026)

The Promise of Time-Series Foundation Models for Agricultural Forecasting: Evidence from Commodity Prices
by: Wang, Le, et al.
Published: (2026)

On the Anchoring Effect of Monetary Policy on the Labor Share of Income and the Rationality of Its Setting Mechanism
by: Tuobang, Li
Published: (2026)

Selecting and Testing Asset Pricing Models: A Stepwise Approach
by: Feng, Guanhao, et al.
Published: (2026)

Volatility Spillovers in China's Real Estate Crisis: A Network Approach
by: Manso, Julia
Published: (2026)

Two-way Clustering Robust Variance Estimator in Quantile Regression Models
by: Hounyo, Ulrich, et al.
Published: (2026)

Anticorruption Enforcement and Sale Mechanism Choice in China's Land Market
by: Manso, Julia
Published: (2026)

Is Productivity Advantage of Cities Really Down To Mean and Variance?
by: Morozov, Vladislav, et al.
Published: (2026)

Implementing Substance Over Form: A Novel Metric for Taxing E-commerce to Address Deterritorialization
by: Tuobang, Li
Published: (2026)

Calibrating Resident Surveys with Operational Data in Community Planning
by: Gabashvili, Irene S.
Published: (2026)

Bayesian estimation of finite mixtures of Tobit models
by: Waisman, Caio
Published: (2024)

A Kernel Score Perspective on Forecast Disagreement and the Linear Pool
by: Krüger, Fabian
Published: (2024)

Difference-in-Discontinuities: Estimation, Inference and Validity Tests
by: Picchetti, Pedro, et al.
Published: (2024)

On Robust Inference in Time Series Regression
by: Baillie, Richard T., et al.
Published: (2022)

Temperature in the Iberian Peninsula: Trend, seasonality, and heterogeneity
by: Rodríguez-Caballero, C. Vladimir, et al.
Published: (2024)

Time-Varying Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks
by: Camehl, Annika, et al.
Published: (2023)

Principal component analysis in econometrics: a selective inference perspective
by: Matsumura, Yasuyuki, et al.
Published: (2025)

Bounded Rationality in Central Bank Communication
by: Kim, Wonseong, et al.
Published: (2024)

Interference Produces False-Positive Pricing Experiments
by: Roemheld, Lars, et al.
Published: (2024)

Forecasting in small open emerging economies Evidence from Thailand
by: Taveeapiradeecharoen, Paponpat, et al.
Published: (2025)

Flexible Covariate Adjustments in Regression Discontinuity Designs
by: Noack, Claudia, et al.
Published: (2021)

Comparing MCMC algorithms in Stochastic Volatility Models using Simulation Based Calibration
by: Wee, Benjamin
Published: (2024)

Estimations of the Local Conditional Tail Average Treatment Effect
by: Chen, Le-Yu, et al.
Published: (2021)

Grid-level impacts of renewable energy on thermal generation: efficiency, emissions and flexibility
by: Suri, Dhruv, et al.
Published: (2025)

Claim Reserving via Inverse Probability Weighting: A Micro-Level Chain-Ladder Method
by: Calcetero-Vanegas, Sebastian, et al.
Published: (2023)

Leveraging Covariates in Regression Discontinuity Designs
by: Cattaneo, Matias D., et al.
Published: (2025)

Partial Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions with Non-Centred Stochastic Volatility
by: Lütkepohl, Helmut, et al.
Published: (2024)

What are the real implications for $CO_2$ as generation from renewables increases?
by: Suri, Dhruv, et al.
Published: (2024)

Interpretational errors with instrumental variables
by: Locher, Luca, et al.
Published: (2025)

A Model of the Fed's View on Inflation
by: Hasenzagl, Thomas, et al.
Published: (2020)