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Hauptverfasser: Yang, Yuedong, Wei, Xiwen, Munir, Mustafa, Marculescu, Radu
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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Online-Zugang:https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.10335
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author Yang, Yuedong
Wei, Xiwen
Munir, Mustafa
Marculescu, Radu
author_facet Yang, Yuedong
Wei, Xiwen
Munir, Mustafa
Marculescu, Radu
contents Reasoning Large Multi-modality Models (LMMs) have become the de facto choice for many applications. However, these models rely on a Chain-of-Thought (CoT) process that is lengthy and unpredictable at runtime, often resulting in inefficient use of computational resources (due to memory fragmentation) and sub-optimal accuracy (due to under- and over-thinking). We observe empirically that the CoT process follows a very simple form, whose behavior is independent of the specific generated samples. This suggests that the CoT length can be estimated ahead of time based on a hidden parameter representing the amount of "fuel" available to support the reasoning process. Based on this insight, we propose Fuel Gauge, the first method which extracts this hidden signal and predicts CoT length ahead of time. We demonstrate the utility on the Fuel Gauge on two downstream tasks: predictive KV cache allocation, which addresses memory fragmentation in LMM serving systems, and CoT length modulation, which mitigates under-thinking and over-thinking. Extensive experiments on LMMs across text-only, image-text, and video-text question answering benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness, generalizability, and practical value of our Fuel Gauge. For example, on the GPQA-Diamond benchmark, our Fuel Gauge achieves less than half the CoT length prediction error compared to the baseline; this translates into a 13.37x reduction in the memory allocation frequency.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_10335
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Fuel Gauge: Estimating Chain-of-Thought Length Ahead of Time in Large Multimodal Models
Yang, Yuedong
Wei, Xiwen
Munir, Mustafa
Marculescu, Radu
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Reasoning Large Multi-modality Models (LMMs) have become the de facto choice for many applications. However, these models rely on a Chain-of-Thought (CoT) process that is lengthy and unpredictable at runtime, often resulting in inefficient use of computational resources (due to memory fragmentation) and sub-optimal accuracy (due to under- and over-thinking). We observe empirically that the CoT process follows a very simple form, whose behavior is independent of the specific generated samples. This suggests that the CoT length can be estimated ahead of time based on a hidden parameter representing the amount of "fuel" available to support the reasoning process. Based on this insight, we propose Fuel Gauge, the first method which extracts this hidden signal and predicts CoT length ahead of time. We demonstrate the utility on the Fuel Gauge on two downstream tasks: predictive KV cache allocation, which addresses memory fragmentation in LMM serving systems, and CoT length modulation, which mitigates under-thinking and over-thinking. Extensive experiments on LMMs across text-only, image-text, and video-text question answering benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness, generalizability, and practical value of our Fuel Gauge. For example, on the GPQA-Diamond benchmark, our Fuel Gauge achieves less than half the CoT length prediction error compared to the baseline; this translates into a 13.37x reduction in the memory allocation frequency.
title Fuel Gauge: Estimating Chain-of-Thought Length Ahead of Time in Large Multimodal Models
topic Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.10335