Gravitational Wave Measurement of the Mbh-Mbulge Intrinsic Scatter at High Redshift

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Hauptverfasser: Matt, Cayenne, Gültekin, Kayhan, Agazie, Gabriella, Agarwal, Nikita, Anumarlapudi, Akash, Archibald, Anne M., Arzoumanian, Zaven, Baier, Jeremy G., Baker, Paul T., Bécsy, Bence, Blecha, Laura, Brazier, Adam, Brook, Paul R., Burke-Spolaor, Sarah, Burnette, Rand, Case, Robin, Casey-Clyde, J. Andrew, Charisi, Maria, Chatterjee, Shami, Cohen, Tyler, Cordes, James M., Cornish, Neil J., Crawford, Fronefield, Cromartie, H. Thankful, Crowter, Kathryn, DeCesar, Megan E., Demorest, Paul B., Deng, Heling, Dey, Lankeswar, Dolch, Timothy, Doskoch, Graham M., Ferrara, Elizabeth C., Fiore, William, Fonseca, Emmanuel, Freedman, Gabriel E., Gardiner, Emiko C., Garver-Daniels, Nate, Gentile, Peter A., Gersbach, Kyle A., Glaser, Joseph, Good, Deborah C., Harris, C. J., Hazboun, Jeffrey S., Jennings, Ross J., Johnson, Aaron D., Jones, Megan L., Kaplan, David L., Sreekumar, Anala Kavumkandathil, Kelley, Luke Zoltan, Kerr, Matthew, Key, Joey S., Laal, Nima, Lam, Michael T., Lamb, William G., Larsen, Bjorn, Lazio, T. Joseph W., Lewandowska, Natalia, Liu, Tingting, Lorimer, Duncan R., Luo, Jing, Lynch, Ryan S., Ma, Chung-Pei, Madison, Dustin R., Martsen, Ashley, McEwen, Alexander, McKee, James W., McLaughlin, Maura A., McMann, Natasha, Meyers, Bradley W., Meyers, Patrick M., Mingarelli, Chiara M. F., Mitridate, Andrea, Ng, Cherry, Nice, David J., Nichols, Shania, Ocker, Stella Koch, Olum, Ken D., Pennucci, Timothy T., Perera, Benetge B. P., Petrov, Polina, Pol, Nihan S., Radovan, Henri A., Ransom, Scott M., Ray, Paul S., Romano, Joseph D., Runnoe, Jessie C., Saffer, Alexander, Sardesai, Shashwat C., Schmiedekamp, Ann, Schmiedekamp, Carl, Schmitz, Kai, Shapiro-Albert, Brent J., Siemens, Xavier, Simon, Joseph, Fiscella, Sophia V. Sosa, Stairs, Ingrid H., Stinebring, Daniel R., Stovall, Kevin, Susobhanan, Abhimanyu, Swiggum, Joseph K., Taylor, Jacob, Taylor, Stephen R., Thompson, Mercedes S., Turner, Jacob E., Vallisneri, Michele, van Haasteren, Rutger, Vigeland, Sarah J., Wahl, Haley M., Wilson, Kevin P., Witt, Caitlin A., Wright, David, Young, Olivia
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Veröffentlicht: 2026
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author Matt, Cayenne
Gültekin, Kayhan
Agazie, Gabriella
Agarwal, Nikita
Anumarlapudi, Akash
Archibald, Anne M.
Arzoumanian, Zaven
Baier, Jeremy G.
Baker, Paul T.
Bécsy, Bence
Blecha, Laura
Brazier, Adam
Brook, Paul R.
Burke-Spolaor, Sarah
Burnette, Rand
Case, Robin
Casey-Clyde, J. Andrew
Charisi, Maria
Chatterjee, Shami
Cohen, Tyler
Cordes, James M.
Cornish, Neil J.
Crawford, Fronefield
Cromartie, H. Thankful
Crowter, Kathryn
DeCesar, Megan E.
Demorest, Paul B.
Deng, Heling
Dey, Lankeswar
Dolch, Timothy
Doskoch, Graham M.
Ferrara, Elizabeth C.
Fiore, William
Fonseca, Emmanuel
Freedman, Gabriel E.
Gardiner, Emiko C.
Garver-Daniels, Nate
Gentile, Peter A.
Gersbach, Kyle A.
Glaser, Joseph
Good, Deborah C.
Harris, C. J.
Hazboun, Jeffrey S.
Jennings, Ross J.
Johnson, Aaron D.
Jones, Megan L.
Kaplan, David L.
Sreekumar, Anala Kavumkandathil
Kelley, Luke Zoltan
Kerr, Matthew
Key, Joey S.
Laal, Nima
Lam, Michael T.
Lamb, William G.
Larsen, Bjorn
Lazio, T. Joseph W.
Lewandowska, Natalia
Liu, Tingting
Lorimer, Duncan R.
Luo, Jing
Lynch, Ryan S.
Ma, Chung-Pei
Madison, Dustin R.
Martsen, Ashley
McEwen, Alexander
McKee, James W.
McLaughlin, Maura A.
McMann, Natasha
Meyers, Bradley W.
Meyers, Patrick M.
Mingarelli, Chiara M. F.
Mitridate, Andrea
Ng, Cherry
Nice, David J.
Nichols, Shania
Ocker, Stella Koch
Olum, Ken D.
Pennucci, Timothy T.
Perera, Benetge B. P.
Petrov, Polina
Pol, Nihan S.
Radovan, Henri A.
Ransom, Scott M.
Ray, Paul S.
Romano, Joseph D.
Runnoe, Jessie C.
Saffer, Alexander
Sardesai, Shashwat C.
Schmiedekamp, Ann
Schmiedekamp, Carl
Schmitz, Kai
Shapiro-Albert, Brent J.
Siemens, Xavier
Simon, Joseph
Fiscella, Sophia V. Sosa
Stairs, Ingrid H.
Stinebring, Daniel R.
Stovall, Kevin
Susobhanan, Abhimanyu
Swiggum, Joseph K.
Taylor, Jacob
Taylor, Stephen R.
Thompson, Mercedes S.
Turner, Jacob E.
Vallisneri, Michele
van Haasteren, Rutger
Vigeland, Sarah J.
Wahl, Haley M.
Wilson, Kevin P.
Witt, Caitlin A.
Wright, David
Young, Olivia
author_facet Matt, Cayenne
Gültekin, Kayhan
Agazie, Gabriella
Agarwal, Nikita
Anumarlapudi, Akash
Archibald, Anne M.
Arzoumanian, Zaven
Baier, Jeremy G.
Baker, Paul T.
Bécsy, Bence
Blecha, Laura
Brazier, Adam
Brook, Paul R.
Burke-Spolaor, Sarah
Burnette, Rand
Case, Robin
Casey-Clyde, J. Andrew
Charisi, Maria
Chatterjee, Shami
Cohen, Tyler
Cordes, James M.
Cornish, Neil J.
Crawford, Fronefield
Cromartie, H. Thankful
Crowter, Kathryn
DeCesar, Megan E.
Demorest, Paul B.
Deng, Heling
Dey, Lankeswar
Dolch, Timothy
Doskoch, Graham M.
Ferrara, Elizabeth C.
Fiore, William
Fonseca, Emmanuel
Freedman, Gabriel E.
Gardiner, Emiko C.
Garver-Daniels, Nate
Gentile, Peter A.
Gersbach, Kyle A.
Glaser, Joseph
Good, Deborah C.
Harris, C. J.
Hazboun, Jeffrey S.
Jennings, Ross J.
Johnson, Aaron D.
Jones, Megan L.
Kaplan, David L.
Sreekumar, Anala Kavumkandathil
Kelley, Luke Zoltan
Kerr, Matthew
Key, Joey S.
Laal, Nima
Lam, Michael T.
Lamb, William G.
Larsen, Bjorn
Lazio, T. Joseph W.
Lewandowska, Natalia
Liu, Tingting
Lorimer, Duncan R.
Luo, Jing
Lynch, Ryan S.
Ma, Chung-Pei
Madison, Dustin R.
Martsen, Ashley
McEwen, Alexander
McKee, James W.
McLaughlin, Maura A.
McMann, Natasha
Meyers, Bradley W.
Meyers, Patrick M.
Mingarelli, Chiara M. F.
Mitridate, Andrea
Ng, Cherry
Nice, David J.
Nichols, Shania
Ocker, Stella Koch
Olum, Ken D.
Pennucci, Timothy T.
Perera, Benetge B. P.
Petrov, Polina
Pol, Nihan S.
Radovan, Henri A.
Ransom, Scott M.
Ray, Paul S.
Romano, Joseph D.
Runnoe, Jessie C.
Saffer, Alexander
Sardesai, Shashwat C.
Schmiedekamp, Ann
Schmiedekamp, Carl
Schmitz, Kai
Shapiro-Albert, Brent J.
Siemens, Xavier
Simon, Joseph
Fiscella, Sophia V. Sosa
Stairs, Ingrid H.
Stinebring, Daniel R.
Stovall, Kevin
Susobhanan, Abhimanyu
Swiggum, Joseph K.
Taylor, Jacob
Taylor, Stephen R.
Thompson, Mercedes S.
Turner, Jacob E.
Vallisneri, Michele
van Haasteren, Rutger
Vigeland, Sarah J.
Wahl, Haley M.
Wilson, Kevin P.
Witt, Caitlin A.
Wright, David
Young, Olivia
contents The observed GWB spectrum is higher in amplitude than model predictions by a factor of 2-3. Using a semi-analytic model, we evaluate the effect of a high-scatter supermassive black hole (SMBH) scaling relation (Mbh-Mbulge) on models of the nanoHertz gravitational wave background (GWB). By implementing an intrinsic scatter of the Mbh-Mbulge relation, which is larger at higher redshift, but matches local observations, we find that the amplitude of GWB models increases to be consistent with the low-frequency end of the GWB spectrum. This amplitude increase is not uniform across frequencies, a strongly evolving scatter preferentially increases the number density of the most massive SMBHs which, in the GWB spectrum, minimizes the strength of the low-frequency turnover. Our models with positively evolving intrinsic scatter can reproduce the electromagnetically observed overmassive SMBHs at 4 < z < 6 without changing the Mbh-Mbulge normalization though we find that including moderate normalization evolution improves fits to the GWB data. We conclude that the Mbh-Mbulge relation which best describes the available GWB and electromagnetic data sets has intrinsic scatter which evolves as epsilon(z) = epsilon_0 + (0.56 +/- 0.4) log10(1 + z) and normalization which evolves as alpha(z) = alpha_0 (1 + z)^(0.84 +/- 0.35). The results of this work imply that the Mbh-Mbulge relation we see today is not universal throughout cosmic time and that a diversity of seeding models and growth mechanisms may be at play in the early stages of SMBH-galaxy evolution.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_11167
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Gravitational Wave Measurement of the Mbh-Mbulge Intrinsic Scatter at High Redshift
Matt, Cayenne
Gültekin, Kayhan
Agazie, Gabriella
Agarwal, Nikita
Anumarlapudi, Akash
Archibald, Anne M.
Arzoumanian, Zaven
Baier, Jeremy G.
Baker, Paul T.
Bécsy, Bence
Blecha, Laura
Brazier, Adam
Brook, Paul R.
Burke-Spolaor, Sarah
Burnette, Rand
Case, Robin
Casey-Clyde, J. Andrew
Charisi, Maria
Chatterjee, Shami
Cohen, Tyler
Cordes, James M.
Cornish, Neil J.
Crawford, Fronefield
Cromartie, H. Thankful
Crowter, Kathryn
DeCesar, Megan E.
Demorest, Paul B.
Deng, Heling
Dey, Lankeswar
Dolch, Timothy
Doskoch, Graham M.
Ferrara, Elizabeth C.
Fiore, William
Fonseca, Emmanuel
Freedman, Gabriel E.
Gardiner, Emiko C.
Garver-Daniels, Nate
Gentile, Peter A.
Gersbach, Kyle A.
Glaser, Joseph
Good, Deborah C.
Harris, C. J.
Hazboun, Jeffrey S.
Jennings, Ross J.
Johnson, Aaron D.
Jones, Megan L.
Kaplan, David L.
Sreekumar, Anala Kavumkandathil
Kelley, Luke Zoltan
Kerr, Matthew
Key, Joey S.
Laal, Nima
Lam, Michael T.
Lamb, William G.
Larsen, Bjorn
Lazio, T. Joseph W.
Lewandowska, Natalia
Liu, Tingting
Lorimer, Duncan R.
Luo, Jing
Lynch, Ryan S.
Ma, Chung-Pei
Madison, Dustin R.
Martsen, Ashley
McEwen, Alexander
McKee, James W.
McLaughlin, Maura A.
McMann, Natasha
Meyers, Bradley W.
Meyers, Patrick M.
Mingarelli, Chiara M. F.
Mitridate, Andrea
Ng, Cherry
Nice, David J.
Nichols, Shania
Ocker, Stella Koch
Olum, Ken D.
Pennucci, Timothy T.
Perera, Benetge B. P.
Petrov, Polina
Pol, Nihan S.
Radovan, Henri A.
Ransom, Scott M.
Ray, Paul S.
Romano, Joseph D.
Runnoe, Jessie C.
Saffer, Alexander
Sardesai, Shashwat C.
Schmiedekamp, Ann
Schmiedekamp, Carl
Schmitz, Kai
Shapiro-Albert, Brent J.
Siemens, Xavier
Simon, Joseph
Fiscella, Sophia V. Sosa
Stairs, Ingrid H.
Stinebring, Daniel R.
Stovall, Kevin
Susobhanan, Abhimanyu
Swiggum, Joseph K.
Taylor, Jacob
Taylor, Stephen R.
Thompson, Mercedes S.
Turner, Jacob E.
Vallisneri, Michele
van Haasteren, Rutger
Vigeland, Sarah J.
Wahl, Haley M.
Wilson, Kevin P.
Witt, Caitlin A.
Wright, David
Young, Olivia
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
Astrophysics of Galaxies
The observed GWB spectrum is higher in amplitude than model predictions by a factor of 2-3. Using a semi-analytic model, we evaluate the effect of a high-scatter supermassive black hole (SMBH) scaling relation (Mbh-Mbulge) on models of the nanoHertz gravitational wave background (GWB). By implementing an intrinsic scatter of the Mbh-Mbulge relation, which is larger at higher redshift, but matches local observations, we find that the amplitude of GWB models increases to be consistent with the low-frequency end of the GWB spectrum. This amplitude increase is not uniform across frequencies, a strongly evolving scatter preferentially increases the number density of the most massive SMBHs which, in the GWB spectrum, minimizes the strength of the low-frequency turnover. Our models with positively evolving intrinsic scatter can reproduce the electromagnetically observed overmassive SMBHs at 4 < z < 6 without changing the Mbh-Mbulge normalization though we find that including moderate normalization evolution improves fits to the GWB data. We conclude that the Mbh-Mbulge relation which best describes the available GWB and electromagnetic data sets has intrinsic scatter which evolves as epsilon(z) = epsilon_0 + (0.56 +/- 0.4) log10(1 + z) and normalization which evolves as alpha(z) = alpha_0 (1 + z)^(0.84 +/- 0.35). The results of this work imply that the Mbh-Mbulge relation we see today is not universal throughout cosmic time and that a diversity of seeding models and growth mechanisms may be at play in the early stages of SMBH-galaxy evolution.
title Gravitational Wave Measurement of the Mbh-Mbulge Intrinsic Scatter at High Redshift
topic High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
Astrophysics of Galaxies
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.11167