The Targeted Standard Siren Cosmology with Pulsar Timing Arrays

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Autori principali: Sardana, Shubhit, Goncharov, Boris, Tremblay, Jacob Cardinal
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Sardana, Shubhit
Goncharov, Boris
Tremblay, Jacob Cardinal
author_facet Sardana, Shubhit
Goncharov, Boris
Tremblay, Jacob Cardinal
contents The sky localisation of about $10$ to $100~\text{deg}^2$, which is expected to be achieved in all-sky blind searches for gravitational waves from supermassive black hole binaries (SMBHBs) with Pulsar Timing Array (PTA) experiments, has long been posed as a prohibitive factor in utilising these sources as standard sirens for precision cosmology. We propose a solution to this problem, which makes use of targeted searches rather than all-sky blind searches for SMBHBs. Using our simulated data informed by current PTA observations, we show that the Chinese Pulsar Timing Array (CPTA) alone could infer the Hubble constant with a precision of 2~km/s/Mpc. Such precision in an independent cosmological probe could provide decisive support in the resolution of the Hubble tension. We demonstrate the application of our method to several simultaneously observed SMBHBs, as well as the method's robustness against confusion between the host galaxies of SMBHB sources in realistic observing scenarios.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_12168
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Targeted Standard Siren Cosmology with Pulsar Timing Arrays
Sardana, Shubhit
Goncharov, Boris
Tremblay, Jacob Cardinal
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
The sky localisation of about $10$ to $100~\text{deg}^2$, which is expected to be achieved in all-sky blind searches for gravitational waves from supermassive black hole binaries (SMBHBs) with Pulsar Timing Array (PTA) experiments, has long been posed as a prohibitive factor in utilising these sources as standard sirens for precision cosmology. We propose a solution to this problem, which makes use of targeted searches rather than all-sky blind searches for SMBHBs. Using our simulated data informed by current PTA observations, we show that the Chinese Pulsar Timing Array (CPTA) alone could infer the Hubble constant with a precision of 2~km/s/Mpc. Such precision in an independent cosmological probe could provide decisive support in the resolution of the Hubble tension. We demonstrate the application of our method to several simultaneously observed SMBHBs, as well as the method's robustness against confusion between the host galaxies of SMBHB sources in realistic observing scenarios.
title The Targeted Standard Siren Cosmology with Pulsar Timing Arrays
topic Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.12168