An Updated SynthPop Model for Microlensing Simulations I: Model Description & Evaluation
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2026
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| author | Huston, Macy J. Crisp, Alison L. Newman, Marz Patlak, Riley Penny, Matthew T. Kluter, Jonas Johnson, Samson A. McGill, Peter Smith, Leigh C. Karkour, Victor Abrams, Natasha S. Fernandes, Rachel B. Gaudi, B. Scott Lam, Casey Y. Lu, Jessica R. McGee, Carissma Novati, Sebastiano Calchi Stassun, Keivan G. Terry, Sean K. Verma, Himanshu Zohrabi, Farzaneh |
| author_facet | Huston, Macy J. Crisp, Alison L. Newman, Marz Patlak, Riley Penny, Matthew T. Kluter, Jonas Johnson, Samson A. McGill, Peter Smith, Leigh C. Karkour, Victor Abrams, Natasha S. Fernandes, Rachel B. Gaudi, B. Scott Lam, Casey Y. Lu, Jessica R. McGee, Carissma Novati, Sebastiano Calchi Stassun, Keivan G. Terry, Sean K. Verma, Himanshu Zohrabi, Farzaneh |
| contents | The optimization and interpretation of microlensing surveys depends on having an accurate model of the Milky Way. However, existing population synthesis Galactic modeling tools often perform poorly in replicating the stellar contents of the inner Galactic bulge region and reproducing microlensing survey results. We present an updated Galactic model implementation within the \synthpop framework that has been tuned for simulating the upcoming {\it Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope}'s Galactic Bulge Time Domain Survey (RGBTDS). We evaluate the model against stellar catalogs and kinematics from optical and infrared surveys toward the Galactic bulge, finding good agreement in much of the bulge, including the RGBTDS' contiguous lower bulge fields. However, within Galactic latitudes of $b\lesssim0.5^\circ$ of the Galactic plane, some inconsistencies arise which may impact projections for the RGBTDS' Galactic center field. The model over-predicts optical microlensing event rate per star measurements by a $\sim20$\%, but detailed comparisons to near-infrared measurements are hampered by their lack of detection efficiencies. {\it Roman}'s GBTDS and Galactic Plane Survey will be instrumental in resolving the remaining model inconsistencies and improving our understanding of the structure of the central few degrees of our Galaxy. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_12219 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2026 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | An Updated SynthPop Model for Microlensing Simulations I: Model Description & Evaluation Huston, Macy J. Crisp, Alison L. Newman, Marz Patlak, Riley Penny, Matthew T. Kluter, Jonas Johnson, Samson A. McGill, Peter Smith, Leigh C. Karkour, Victor Abrams, Natasha S. Fernandes, Rachel B. Gaudi, B. Scott Lam, Casey Y. Lu, Jessica R. McGee, Carissma Novati, Sebastiano Calchi Stassun, Keivan G. Terry, Sean K. Verma, Himanshu Zohrabi, Farzaneh Astrophysics of Galaxies Solar and Stellar Astrophysics The optimization and interpretation of microlensing surveys depends on having an accurate model of the Milky Way. However, existing population synthesis Galactic modeling tools often perform poorly in replicating the stellar contents of the inner Galactic bulge region and reproducing microlensing survey results. We present an updated Galactic model implementation within the \synthpop framework that has been tuned for simulating the upcoming {\it Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope}'s Galactic Bulge Time Domain Survey (RGBTDS). We evaluate the model against stellar catalogs and kinematics from optical and infrared surveys toward the Galactic bulge, finding good agreement in much of the bulge, including the RGBTDS' contiguous lower bulge fields. However, within Galactic latitudes of $b\lesssim0.5^\circ$ of the Galactic plane, some inconsistencies arise which may impact projections for the RGBTDS' Galactic center field. The model over-predicts optical microlensing event rate per star measurements by a $\sim20$\%, but detailed comparisons to near-infrared measurements are hampered by their lack of detection efficiencies. {\it Roman}'s GBTDS and Galactic Plane Survey will be instrumental in resolving the remaining model inconsistencies and improving our understanding of the structure of the central few degrees of our Galaxy. |
| title | An Updated SynthPop Model for Microlensing Simulations I: Model Description & Evaluation |
| topic | Astrophysics of Galaxies Solar and Stellar Astrophysics |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.12219 |