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Main Authors: Mosaffa, Mohammad, Rafieian, Omid
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.12374
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author Mosaffa, Mohammad
Rafieian, Omid
author_facet Mosaffa, Mohammad
Rafieian, Omid
contents Firms collect vast amounts of behavioral and geographical data on individuals. While behavioral data captures an individual's digital footprint, geographical data reflects their physical footprint. Given the significant privacy risks associated with combining these data sources, it is crucial to understand their respective value and whether they act as complements or substitutes in achieving firms' business objectives. In this paper, we combine economic theory, machine learning, and causal inference to quantify the value of geographical data, the extent to which behavioral data can substitute for it, and the mechanisms through which it benefits firms. Using data from a leading in-app advertising platform in a large Asian country, we document that geographical data is most valuable in the early cold-start stage, when behavioral histories are limited. In this stage, geographical data complements behavioral data, improving targeting performance by almost 20%. As users accumulate richer behavioral histories, however, the role of geographical data shifts: it becomes largely substitutable, as behavioral data alone captures the relevant heterogeneity. These results highlight a central privacy-utility trade-off in ad personalization and inform managerial decisions about when location tracking creates value.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_12374
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Privacy-Utility Trade-Off of Location Tracking in Ad Personalization
Mosaffa, Mohammad
Rafieian, Omid
Econometrics
Machine Learning
Firms collect vast amounts of behavioral and geographical data on individuals. While behavioral data captures an individual's digital footprint, geographical data reflects their physical footprint. Given the significant privacy risks associated with combining these data sources, it is crucial to understand their respective value and whether they act as complements or substitutes in achieving firms' business objectives. In this paper, we combine economic theory, machine learning, and causal inference to quantify the value of geographical data, the extent to which behavioral data can substitute for it, and the mechanisms through which it benefits firms. Using data from a leading in-app advertising platform in a large Asian country, we document that geographical data is most valuable in the early cold-start stage, when behavioral histories are limited. In this stage, geographical data complements behavioral data, improving targeting performance by almost 20%. As users accumulate richer behavioral histories, however, the role of geographical data shifts: it becomes largely substitutable, as behavioral data alone captures the relevant heterogeneity. These results highlight a central privacy-utility trade-off in ad personalization and inform managerial decisions about when location tracking creates value.
title The Privacy-Utility Trade-Off of Location Tracking in Ad Personalization
topic Econometrics
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.12374