Evidence-based Distributional Alignment for Large Language Models

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Pham, Viet-Thanh, Qu, Lizhen, Li, Zhuang, Haffari, Gholamreza
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Pham, Viet-Thanh
Qu, Lizhen
Li, Zhuang
Haffari, Gholamreza
author_facet Pham, Viet-Thanh
Qu, Lizhen
Li, Zhuang
Haffari, Gholamreza
contents Distributional alignment enables large language models (LLMs) to predict how a target population distributes its responses across answer options, rather than collapsing disagreement into a single consensus answer. However, existing LLM-based distribution prediction is often unstable and degrades under cultural and domain shift. Token score-based estimates can change with minor option wording or formatting, response sampling-based estimates are expensive and sensitive to prompts and decoding settings, and directly generated distributions are frequently miscalibrated. We propose Evi-DA, an evidence-based alignment technique that improves the fidelity and robustness of LLM-based distribution estimation under domain and cultural shift. Given a target country and a multiple-choice question, Evi-DA retrieves related World Values Survey items and their answer distributions, predicts a coarse Welzel value signature for each option, and infers the country-conditioned answer distribution in a structured format. We train the LLMs using a two-stage pipeline, where reinforcement learning optimizes survey-derived rewards that encourage accurate intermediate value predictions, faithful final distributions, well-formed structured outputs, and reduced cultural bias. Across in-domain and out-of-domain benchmarks and multiple open-source backbones, Evi-DA reduces Jensen-Shannon divergence between predicted and gold distributions relative to strong baselines, with average relative improvements of up to 44%.
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id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_13305
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Evidence-based Distributional Alignment for Large Language Models
Pham, Viet-Thanh
Qu, Lizhen
Li, Zhuang
Haffari, Gholamreza
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Distributional alignment enables large language models (LLMs) to predict how a target population distributes its responses across answer options, rather than collapsing disagreement into a single consensus answer. However, existing LLM-based distribution prediction is often unstable and degrades under cultural and domain shift. Token score-based estimates can change with minor option wording or formatting, response sampling-based estimates are expensive and sensitive to prompts and decoding settings, and directly generated distributions are frequently miscalibrated. We propose Evi-DA, an evidence-based alignment technique that improves the fidelity and robustness of LLM-based distribution estimation under domain and cultural shift. Given a target country and a multiple-choice question, Evi-DA retrieves related World Values Survey items and their answer distributions, predicts a coarse Welzel value signature for each option, and infers the country-conditioned answer distribution in a structured format. We train the LLMs using a two-stage pipeline, where reinforcement learning optimizes survey-derived rewards that encourage accurate intermediate value predictions, faithful final distributions, well-formed structured outputs, and reduced cultural bias. Across in-domain and out-of-domain benchmarks and multiple open-source backbones, Evi-DA reduces Jensen-Shannon divergence between predicted and gold distributions relative to strong baselines, with average relative improvements of up to 44%.
title Evidence-based Distributional Alignment for Large Language Models
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.13305