The impact of machine learning forecasting on strategic decision-making for Bike Sharing Systems

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Angelelli, Enrico, Mor, Andrea, Orsenigo, Carlotta, Speranza, M. Grazia, Vercellis, Carlo
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
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author Angelelli, Enrico
Mor, Andrea
Orsenigo, Carlotta
Speranza, M. Grazia
Vercellis, Carlo
author_facet Angelelli, Enrico
Mor, Andrea
Orsenigo, Carlotta
Speranza, M. Grazia
Vercellis, Carlo
contents In this paper, machine learning techniques are used to forecast the difference between bike returns and withdrawals at each station of a bike sharing system. The forecasts are integrated into a simulation framework that is used to support long-term decisions and model the daily dynamics, including the relocation of bikes. We assess the quality of the machine learning-based forecasts in two ways. Firstly, we compare the forecasts with alternative prediction methods. Secondly, we analyze the impact of the forecasts on the quality of the output of the simulation framework. The evaluation is based on real-world data of the bike sharing system currently operating in Brescia, Italy.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_14901
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The impact of machine learning forecasting on strategic decision-making for Bike Sharing Systems
Angelelli, Enrico
Mor, Andrea
Orsenigo, Carlotta
Speranza, M. Grazia
Vercellis, Carlo
Optimization and Control
Machine Learning
In this paper, machine learning techniques are used to forecast the difference between bike returns and withdrawals at each station of a bike sharing system. The forecasts are integrated into a simulation framework that is used to support long-term decisions and model the daily dynamics, including the relocation of bikes. We assess the quality of the machine learning-based forecasts in two ways. Firstly, we compare the forecasts with alternative prediction methods. Secondly, we analyze the impact of the forecasts on the quality of the output of the simulation framework. The evaluation is based on real-world data of the bike sharing system currently operating in Brescia, Italy.
title The impact of machine learning forecasting on strategic decision-making for Bike Sharing Systems
topic Optimization and Control
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.14901