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Main Authors: Fuad, Nafis, Qian, Xiaodong
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.17108
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author Fuad, Nafis
Qian, Xiaodong
author_facet Fuad, Nafis
Qian, Xiaodong
contents Urban flooding poses an escalating threat to transportation network continuity, yet no operational system currently provides real-time, street-level flood depth information at the centimeter resolution required for dynamic routing, electric vehicle (EV) safety, and autonomous vehicle (AV) operations. This study presents FloodLlama, a fine-tuned open-source vision-language model (VLM) for continuous flood depth estimation from single street-level images, supported by a multimodal sensing pipeline using TikTok data. A synthetic dataset of approximately 190000 images was generated, covering seven vehicle types, four weather conditions, and 41 depth levels (0-40 cm at 1 cm resolution). Progressive curriculum training enabled coarse-to-fine learning, while LLaMA 3.2-11B Vision was fine-tuned using QLoRA. Evaluation across 34797 trials reveals a depth-dependent prompt effect: simple prompts perform better for shallow flooding, whereas chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning improves performance at greater depths. FloodLlama achieves a mean absolute error (MAE) below 0.97 cm and Acc@5cm above 93.7% for deep flooding, exceeding 96.8% for shallow depths. A five-phase mechanistic interpretability framework identifies layer L23 as the critical depth-encoding transition and enables selective fine-tuning that reduces trainable parameters by 76-80% while maintaining accuracy. The Tier 3 configuration achieves 98.62% accuracy on real-world data and shows strong robustness under visual occlusion. A TikTok-based data pipeline, validated on 676 annotated flood frames from Detroit, demonstrates the feasibility of real-time, crowd-sourced flood sensing. The proposed framework provides a scalable, infrastructure-free solution with direct implications for EV safety, AV deployment, and resilient transportation management.
format Preprint
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publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle LLM-Powered Flood Depth Estimation from Social Media Imagery: A Vision-Language Model Framework with Mechanistic Interpretability for Transportation Resilience
Fuad, Nafis
Qian, Xiaodong
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Urban flooding poses an escalating threat to transportation network continuity, yet no operational system currently provides real-time, street-level flood depth information at the centimeter resolution required for dynamic routing, electric vehicle (EV) safety, and autonomous vehicle (AV) operations. This study presents FloodLlama, a fine-tuned open-source vision-language model (VLM) for continuous flood depth estimation from single street-level images, supported by a multimodal sensing pipeline using TikTok data. A synthetic dataset of approximately 190000 images was generated, covering seven vehicle types, four weather conditions, and 41 depth levels (0-40 cm at 1 cm resolution). Progressive curriculum training enabled coarse-to-fine learning, while LLaMA 3.2-11B Vision was fine-tuned using QLoRA. Evaluation across 34797 trials reveals a depth-dependent prompt effect: simple prompts perform better for shallow flooding, whereas chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning improves performance at greater depths. FloodLlama achieves a mean absolute error (MAE) below 0.97 cm and Acc@5cm above 93.7% for deep flooding, exceeding 96.8% for shallow depths. A five-phase mechanistic interpretability framework identifies layer L23 as the critical depth-encoding transition and enables selective fine-tuning that reduces trainable parameters by 76-80% while maintaining accuracy. The Tier 3 configuration achieves 98.62% accuracy on real-world data and shows strong robustness under visual occlusion. A TikTok-based data pipeline, validated on 676 annotated flood frames from Detroit, demonstrates the feasibility of real-time, crowd-sourced flood sensing. The proposed framework provides a scalable, infrastructure-free solution with direct implications for EV safety, AV deployment, and resilient transportation management.
title LLM-Powered Flood Depth Estimation from Social Media Imagery: A Vision-Language Model Framework with Mechanistic Interpretability for Transportation Resilience
topic Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.17108