Wasserstein-type Gaussian Process Regressions for Input Measurement Uncertainty

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Luo, Hengrui, Li, Xiaoye S., Liu, Yang, Noack, Marcus, Qiang, Ji, Risser, Mark D.
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
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author Luo, Hengrui
Li, Xiaoye S.
Liu, Yang
Noack, Marcus
Qiang, Ji
Risser, Mark D.
author_facet Luo, Hengrui
Li, Xiaoye S.
Liu, Yang
Noack, Marcus
Qiang, Ji
Risser, Mark D.
contents Gaussian process (GP) regression is widely used for uncertainty quantification, yet the standard formulation assumes noise-free covariates. When inputs are measured with error, this errors-in-variables (EIV) setting can lead to optimistically narrow posterior intervals and biased decisions. We study GP regression under input measurement uncertainty by representing each noisy input as a probability measure and defining covariance through Wasserstein distances between these measures. Building on this perspective, we instantiate a deterministic projected Wasserstein ARD (PWA) kernel whose one-dimensional components admit closed-form expressions and whose product structure yields a scalable, positive-definite kernel on distributions. Unlike latent-input GP models, PWA-based GPs (\PWAGPs) handle input noise without introducing unobserved covariates or Monte Carlo projections, making uncertainty quantification more transparent and robust.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_17271
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Wasserstein-type Gaussian Process Regressions for Input Measurement Uncertainty
Luo, Hengrui
Li, Xiaoye S.
Liu, Yang
Noack, Marcus
Qiang, Ji
Risser, Mark D.
Methodology
Machine Learning
Gaussian process (GP) regression is widely used for uncertainty quantification, yet the standard formulation assumes noise-free covariates. When inputs are measured with error, this errors-in-variables (EIV) setting can lead to optimistically narrow posterior intervals and biased decisions. We study GP regression under input measurement uncertainty by representing each noisy input as a probability measure and defining covariance through Wasserstein distances between these measures. Building on this perspective, we instantiate a deterministic projected Wasserstein ARD (PWA) kernel whose one-dimensional components admit closed-form expressions and whose product structure yields a scalable, positive-definite kernel on distributions. Unlike latent-input GP models, PWA-based GPs (\PWAGPs) handle input noise without introducing unobserved covariates or Monte Carlo projections, making uncertainty quantification more transparent and robust.
title Wasserstein-type Gaussian Process Regressions for Input Measurement Uncertainty
topic Methodology
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.17271