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Hauptverfasser: Pan, Fenglian, Zhang, Yinwei, Hong, Yili, Head, Larry, Liu, Jian
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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Online-Zugang:https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.18201
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author Pan, Fenglian
Zhang, Yinwei
Hong, Yili
Head, Larry
Liu, Jian
author_facet Pan, Fenglian
Zhang, Yinwei
Hong, Yili
Head, Larry
Liu, Jian
contents Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems are increasingly prominent in emerging smart cities, yet their reliability remains a critical concern. These systems typically operate through a sequence of interconnected functional stages, where upstream errors may propagate to downstream stages, ultimately affecting overall system reliability. Quantifying such error propagation is essential for accurate modeling of AI system reliability. However, this task is challenging due to: i) data availability: real-world AI system reliability data are often scarce and constrained by privacy concerns; ii) model validity: recurring error events across sequential stages are interdependent, violating the independence assumptions of statistical inference; and iii) computational complexity: AI systems process large volumes of high-speed data, resulting in frequent and complex recurrent error events that are difficult to track and analyze. To address these challenges, this paper leverages a physics-based autonomous vehicle simulation platform with a justifiable error injector to generate high-quality data for AI system reliability analysis. Building on this data, a new reliability modeling framework is developed to explicitly characterize error propagation across stages. Model parameters are estimated using a computationally efficient, theoretically guaranteed composite likelihood expectation - maximization algorithm. Its application to the reliability modeling for autonomous vehicle perception systems demonstrates its predictive accuracy and computational efficiency.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_18201
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Computationally Efficient Learning of Artificial Intelligence System Reliability Considering Error Propagation
Pan, Fenglian
Zhang, Yinwei
Hong, Yili
Head, Larry
Liu, Jian
Artificial Intelligence
Computation
Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems are increasingly prominent in emerging smart cities, yet their reliability remains a critical concern. These systems typically operate through a sequence of interconnected functional stages, where upstream errors may propagate to downstream stages, ultimately affecting overall system reliability. Quantifying such error propagation is essential for accurate modeling of AI system reliability. However, this task is challenging due to: i) data availability: real-world AI system reliability data are often scarce and constrained by privacy concerns; ii) model validity: recurring error events across sequential stages are interdependent, violating the independence assumptions of statistical inference; and iii) computational complexity: AI systems process large volumes of high-speed data, resulting in frequent and complex recurrent error events that are difficult to track and analyze. To address these challenges, this paper leverages a physics-based autonomous vehicle simulation platform with a justifiable error injector to generate high-quality data for AI system reliability analysis. Building on this data, a new reliability modeling framework is developed to explicitly characterize error propagation across stages. Model parameters are estimated using a computationally efficient, theoretically guaranteed composite likelihood expectation - maximization algorithm. Its application to the reliability modeling for autonomous vehicle perception systems demonstrates its predictive accuracy and computational efficiency.
title A Computationally Efficient Learning of Artificial Intelligence System Reliability Considering Error Propagation
topic Artificial Intelligence
Computation
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.18201