Adaptive and robust experimental design for linear dynamical models using Kalman filter

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Strouwen, Arno, Nicolaï, Bart M., Goos, Peter
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
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author Strouwen, Arno
Nicolaï, Bart M.
Goos, Peter
author_facet Strouwen, Arno
Nicolaï, Bart M.
Goos, Peter
contents Current experimental design techniques for dynamical systems often only incorporate measurement noise, while dynamical systems also involve process noise. To construct experimental designs we need to quantify their information content. The Fisher information matrix is a popular tool to do so. Calculating the Fisher information matrix for linear dynamical systems with both process and measurement noise involves estimating the uncertain dynamical states using a Kalman filter. The Fisher information matrix, however, depends on the true but unknown model parameters. In this paper we combine two methods to solve this issue and develop a robust experimental design methodology. First, Bayesian experimental design averages the Fisher information matrix over a prior distribution of possible model parameter values. Second, adaptive experimental design allows for this information to be updated as measurements are being gathered. This updated information is then used to adapt the remainder of the design.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_21370
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Adaptive and robust experimental design for linear dynamical models using Kalman filter
Strouwen, Arno
Nicolaï, Bart M.
Goos, Peter
Methodology
Systems and Control
Current experimental design techniques for dynamical systems often only incorporate measurement noise, while dynamical systems also involve process noise. To construct experimental designs we need to quantify their information content. The Fisher information matrix is a popular tool to do so. Calculating the Fisher information matrix for linear dynamical systems with both process and measurement noise involves estimating the uncertain dynamical states using a Kalman filter. The Fisher information matrix, however, depends on the true but unknown model parameters. In this paper we combine two methods to solve this issue and develop a robust experimental design methodology. First, Bayesian experimental design averages the Fisher information matrix over a prior distribution of possible model parameter values. Second, adaptive experimental design allows for this information to be updated as measurements are being gathered. This updated information is then used to adapt the remainder of the design.
title Adaptive and robust experimental design for linear dynamical models using Kalman filter
topic Methodology
Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.21370