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Hauptverfasser: Griesbauer, Elisabeth, Rønneberg, Leiv, Frigessi, Arnoldo, Czado, Claudia, Haff, Ingrid Hobæk
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.22959
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author Griesbauer, Elisabeth
Rønneberg, Leiv
Frigessi, Arnoldo
Czado, Claudia
Haff, Ingrid Hobæk
author_facet Griesbauer, Elisabeth
Rønneberg, Leiv
Frigessi, Arnoldo
Czado, Claudia
Haff, Ingrid Hobæk
contents We propose stepwise variational inference (VI) with vine copulas: a universal VI procedure that combines vine copulas with a novel stepwise estimation procedure of the variational parameters. Vine copulas consist of a nested sequence of trees built from copulas, where more complex latent dependence can be modeled with increasing number of trees. We propose to estimate the vine copula approximate posterior in a stepwise fashion, tree by tree along the vine structure. Further, we show that the usual backward Kullback-Leibler divergence cannot recover the correct parameters in the vine copula model, thus the evidence lower bound is defined based on the Rényi divergence. Finally, an intuitive stopping criterion for adding further trees to the vine eliminates the need to pre-define a complexity parameter of the variational distribution, as required for most other approaches. Thus, our method interpolates between mean-field VI (MFVI) and full latent dependence. In many applications, in particular sparse Gaussian processes, our method is parsimonious with parameters, while outperforming MFVI.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_22959
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Stepwise Variational Inference with Vine Copulas
Griesbauer, Elisabeth
Rønneberg, Leiv
Frigessi, Arnoldo
Czado, Claudia
Haff, Ingrid Hobæk
Machine Learning
We propose stepwise variational inference (VI) with vine copulas: a universal VI procedure that combines vine copulas with a novel stepwise estimation procedure of the variational parameters. Vine copulas consist of a nested sequence of trees built from copulas, where more complex latent dependence can be modeled with increasing number of trees. We propose to estimate the vine copula approximate posterior in a stepwise fashion, tree by tree along the vine structure. Further, we show that the usual backward Kullback-Leibler divergence cannot recover the correct parameters in the vine copula model, thus the evidence lower bound is defined based on the Rényi divergence. Finally, an intuitive stopping criterion for adding further trees to the vine eliminates the need to pre-define a complexity parameter of the variational distribution, as required for most other approaches. Thus, our method interpolates between mean-field VI (MFVI) and full latent dependence. In many applications, in particular sparse Gaussian processes, our method is parsimonious with parameters, while outperforming MFVI.
title Stepwise Variational Inference with Vine Copulas
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.22959