A Sobering Look at Tabular Data Generation via Probabilistic Circuits

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Scassola, Davide, Ponsford, Dylan, Javaloy, Adrián, Saccani, Sebastiano, Bortolussi, Luca, Gouk, Henry, Vergari, Antonio
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Scassola, Davide
Ponsford, Dylan
Javaloy, Adrián
Saccani, Sebastiano
Bortolussi, Luca
Gouk, Henry
Vergari, Antonio
author_facet Scassola, Davide
Ponsford, Dylan
Javaloy, Adrián
Saccani, Sebastiano
Bortolussi, Luca
Gouk, Henry
Vergari, Antonio
contents Tabular data is more challenging to generate than text and images, due to its heterogeneous features and much lower sample sizes. On this task, diffusion-based models are the current state-of-the-art (SotA) model class, achieving almost perfect performance on commonly used benchmarks. In this paper, we question the perception of progress for tabular data generation. First, we highlight the limitations of current protocols to evaluate the fidelity of generated data, and advocate for alternative ones. Next, we revisit a simple baseline -- hierarchical mixture models in the form of deep probabilistic circuits (PCs) -- which delivers competitive or superior performance to SotA models for a fraction of the cost. PCs are the generative counterpart of decision forests, and as such can natively handle heterogeneous data as well as deliver tractable probabilistic generation and inference. Finally, in a rigorous empirical analysis we show that the apparent saturation of progress for SotA models is largely due to the use of inadequate metrics. As such, we highlight that there is still much to be done to generate realistic tabular data. Code available at https://github.com/april-tools/tabpc.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_23016
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Sobering Look at Tabular Data Generation via Probabilistic Circuits
Scassola, Davide
Ponsford, Dylan
Javaloy, Adrián
Saccani, Sebastiano
Bortolussi, Luca
Gouk, Henry
Vergari, Antonio
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Tabular data is more challenging to generate than text and images, due to its heterogeneous features and much lower sample sizes. On this task, diffusion-based models are the current state-of-the-art (SotA) model class, achieving almost perfect performance on commonly used benchmarks. In this paper, we question the perception of progress for tabular data generation. First, we highlight the limitations of current protocols to evaluate the fidelity of generated data, and advocate for alternative ones. Next, we revisit a simple baseline -- hierarchical mixture models in the form of deep probabilistic circuits (PCs) -- which delivers competitive or superior performance to SotA models for a fraction of the cost. PCs are the generative counterpart of decision forests, and as such can natively handle heterogeneous data as well as deliver tractable probabilistic generation and inference. Finally, in a rigorous empirical analysis we show that the apparent saturation of progress for SotA models is largely due to the use of inadequate metrics. As such, we highlight that there is still much to be done to generate realistic tabular data. Code available at https://github.com/april-tools/tabpc.
title A Sobering Look at Tabular Data Generation via Probabilistic Circuits
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.23016