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Main Authors: Liu, Naiming, Baraniuk, Richard, Sonkar, Shashank
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.23823
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author Liu, Naiming
Baraniuk, Richard
Sonkar, Shashank
author_facet Liu, Naiming
Baraniuk, Richard
Sonkar, Shashank
contents Knowledge tracing models mastery over interconnected concepts, often organized by prerequisites. We analyze hierarchical prerequisite propagation through a circuit-complexity lens to clarify what is provable about transformer-style computation on deep concept hierarchies. Using recent results that log-precision transformers lie in logspace-uniform $\mathsf{TC}^0$, we formalize prerequisite-tree tasks including recursive-majority mastery propagation. Unconditionally, recursive-majority propagation lies in $\mathsf{NC}^1$ via $O(\log n)$-depth bounded-fanin circuits, while separating it from uniform $\mathsf{TC}^0$ would require major progress on open lower bounds. Under a monotonicity restriction, we obtain an unconditional barrier: alternating ALL/ANY prerequisite trees yield a strict depth hierarchy for \emph{monotone} threshold circuits. Empirically, transformer encoders trained on recursive-majority trees converge to permutation-invariant shortcuts; explicit structure alone does not prevent this, but auxiliary supervision on intermediate subtrees elicits structure-dependent computation and achieves near-perfect accuracy at depths 3--4. These findings motivate structure-aware objectives and iterative mechanisms for prerequisite-sensitive knowledge tracing on deep hierarchies.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_23823
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Circuit Complexity of Hierarchical Knowledge Tracing and Implications for Log-Precision Transformers
Liu, Naiming
Baraniuk, Richard
Sonkar, Shashank
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Knowledge tracing models mastery over interconnected concepts, often organized by prerequisites. We analyze hierarchical prerequisite propagation through a circuit-complexity lens to clarify what is provable about transformer-style computation on deep concept hierarchies. Using recent results that log-precision transformers lie in logspace-uniform $\mathsf{TC}^0$, we formalize prerequisite-tree tasks including recursive-majority mastery propagation. Unconditionally, recursive-majority propagation lies in $\mathsf{NC}^1$ via $O(\log n)$-depth bounded-fanin circuits, while separating it from uniform $\mathsf{TC}^0$ would require major progress on open lower bounds. Under a monotonicity restriction, we obtain an unconditional barrier: alternating ALL/ANY prerequisite trees yield a strict depth hierarchy for \emph{monotone} threshold circuits. Empirically, transformer encoders trained on recursive-majority trees converge to permutation-invariant shortcuts; explicit structure alone does not prevent this, but auxiliary supervision on intermediate subtrees elicits structure-dependent computation and achieves near-perfect accuracy at depths 3--4. These findings motivate structure-aware objectives and iterative mechanisms for prerequisite-sensitive knowledge tracing on deep hierarchies.
title Circuit Complexity of Hierarchical Knowledge Tracing and Implications for Log-Precision Transformers
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.23823