Refined Cluster Robust Inference

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Gafarov, Bulat, Ura, Takuya
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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author Gafarov, Bulat
Ura, Takuya
author_facet Gafarov, Bulat
Ura, Takuya
contents It has become standard for empirical studies to conduct inference robust to cluster dependence and heterogeneity. With a small number of clusters, the normal approximation for the $t$-statistics of regression coefficients may be poor. This paper tackles this problem using a critical value based on the conditional Cramér-Edgeworth expansion for the $t$-statistics. Our approach guarantees third-order refinement, regardless of whether a regressor is discrete or not, and, unlike the cluster pairs bootstrap, avoids resampling data. Simulations show that our proposal can make a difference in size control with as few as 10 clusters.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_24786
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Refined Cluster Robust Inference
Gafarov, Bulat
Ura, Takuya
Econometrics
Statistics Theory
It has become standard for empirical studies to conduct inference robust to cluster dependence and heterogeneity. With a small number of clusters, the normal approximation for the $t$-statistics of regression coefficients may be poor. This paper tackles this problem using a critical value based on the conditional Cramér-Edgeworth expansion for the $t$-statistics. Our approach guarantees third-order refinement, regardless of whether a regressor is discrete or not, and, unlike the cluster pairs bootstrap, avoids resampling data. Simulations show that our proposal can make a difference in size control with as few as 10 clusters.
title Refined Cluster Robust Inference
topic Econometrics
Statistics Theory
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.24786