Approximate Bayesian Inference for Structural Equation Models using Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Jamil, Haziq, Rue, Håvard
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author Jamil, Haziq
Rue, Håvard
author_facet Jamil, Haziq
Rue, Håvard
contents Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods remain the mainstay of Bayesian estimation of structural equation models (SEM), though they often incur a high computational cost. We present a bespoke approximate Bayesian approach to SEM, drawing on ideas from the integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA, Rue et al., 2009, J. R. Stat. Soc. Series B Stat. Methodol.) framework. We implement a simplified Laplace approximation that efficiently profiles the posterior density in each parameter direction while correcting for asymmetry, allowing for parametric skew-normal estimation of the marginals. Furthermore, we apply a variational Bayes correction to shift the marginal locations, thereby better capturing the posterior mass. Essential quantities, including factor scores and model-fit indices, are obtained via an adjusted Gaussian copula sampling scheme. For normal-theory SEM, this approach offers a highly accurate alternative to sampling-based inference, achieving near-'maximum likelihood' speeds while retaining the precision of full Bayesian inference.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_25690
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Approximate Bayesian Inference for Structural Equation Models using Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations
Jamil, Haziq
Rue, Håvard
Methodology
Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods remain the mainstay of Bayesian estimation of structural equation models (SEM), though they often incur a high computational cost. We present a bespoke approximate Bayesian approach to SEM, drawing on ideas from the integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA, Rue et al., 2009, J. R. Stat. Soc. Series B Stat. Methodol.) framework. We implement a simplified Laplace approximation that efficiently profiles the posterior density in each parameter direction while correcting for asymmetry, allowing for parametric skew-normal estimation of the marginals. Furthermore, we apply a variational Bayes correction to shift the marginal locations, thereby better capturing the posterior mass. Essential quantities, including factor scores and model-fit indices, are obtained via an adjusted Gaussian copula sampling scheme. For normal-theory SEM, this approach offers a highly accurate alternative to sampling-based inference, achieving near-'maximum likelihood' speeds while retaining the precision of full Bayesian inference.
title Approximate Bayesian Inference for Structural Equation Models using Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.25690