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Main Authors: Busch, Matthias, Tacke, Marius, Lamaka, Sviatlana V., Zheludkevich, Mikhail L., Cyron, Christian J., Feiler, Christian, Aydin, Roland C.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.25857
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author Busch, Matthias
Tacke, Marius
Lamaka, Sviatlana V.
Zheludkevich, Mikhail L.
Cyron, Christian J.
Feiler, Christian
Aydin, Roland C.
author_facet Busch, Matthias
Tacke, Marius
Lamaka, Sviatlana V.
Zheludkevich, Mikhail L.
Cyron, Christian J.
Feiler, Christian
Aydin, Roland C.
contents The capabilities of large language models (LLMs) have expanded beyond natural language processing to scientific prediction tasks, including molecular property prediction. However, their effectiveness in in-context learning remains ambiguous, particularly given the potential for training data contamination in widely used benchmarks. This paper investigates whether LLMs perform genuine in-context regression on molecular properties or rely primarily on memorized values. Furthermore, we analyze the interplay between pre-trained knowledge and in-context information through a series of progressively blinded experiments. We evaluate nine LLM variants across three families (GPT-4.1, GPT-5, Gemini 2.5) on three MoleculeNet datasets (Delaney solubility, Lipophilicity, QM7 atomization energy) using a systematic blinding approach that iteratively reduces available information. Complementing this, we utilize varying in-context sample sizes (0-, 60-, and 1000-shot) as an additional control for information access. This work provides a principled framework for evaluating molecular property prediction under controlled information access, addressing concerns regarding memorization and exposing conflicts between pre-trained knowledge and in-context information.
format Preprint
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institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
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spellingShingle In-Context Molecular Property Prediction with LLMs: A Blinding Study on Memorization and Knowledge Conflicts
Busch, Matthias
Tacke, Marius
Lamaka, Sviatlana V.
Zheludkevich, Mikhail L.
Cyron, Christian J.
Feiler, Christian
Aydin, Roland C.
Machine Learning
The capabilities of large language models (LLMs) have expanded beyond natural language processing to scientific prediction tasks, including molecular property prediction. However, their effectiveness in in-context learning remains ambiguous, particularly given the potential for training data contamination in widely used benchmarks. This paper investigates whether LLMs perform genuine in-context regression on molecular properties or rely primarily on memorized values. Furthermore, we analyze the interplay between pre-trained knowledge and in-context information through a series of progressively blinded experiments. We evaluate nine LLM variants across three families (GPT-4.1, GPT-5, Gemini 2.5) on three MoleculeNet datasets (Delaney solubility, Lipophilicity, QM7 atomization energy) using a systematic blinding approach that iteratively reduces available information. Complementing this, we utilize varying in-context sample sizes (0-, 60-, and 1000-shot) as an additional control for information access. This work provides a principled framework for evaluating molecular property prediction under controlled information access, addressing concerns regarding memorization and exposing conflicts between pre-trained knowledge and in-context information.
title In-Context Molecular Property Prediction with LLMs: A Blinding Study on Memorization and Knowledge Conflicts
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.25857