DTP-Attack: A decision-based black-box adversarial attack on trajectory prediction

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Li, Jiaxiang, Yan, Jun, Watzenig, Daniel, Yin, Huilin
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author Li, Jiaxiang
Yan, Jun
Watzenig, Daniel
Yin, Huilin
author_facet Li, Jiaxiang
Yan, Jun
Watzenig, Daniel
Yin, Huilin
contents Trajectory prediction systems are critical for autonomous vehicle safety, yet remain vulnerable to adversarial attacks that can cause catastrophic traffic behavior misinterpretations. Existing attack methods require white-box access with gradient information and rely on rigid physical constraints, limiting real-world applicability. We propose DTP-Attack, a decision-based black-box adversarial attack framework tailored for trajectory prediction systems. Our method operates exclusively on binary decision outputs without requiring model internals or gradients, making it practical for real-world scenarios. DTP-Attack employs a novel boundary walking algorithm that navigates adversarial regions without fixed constraints, naturally maintaining trajectory realism through proximity preservation. Unlike existing approaches, our method supports both intention misclassification attacks and prediction accuracy degradation. Extensive evaluation on nuScenes and Apolloscape datasets across state-of-the-art models including Trajectron++ and Grip++ demonstrates superior performance. DTP-Attack achieves 41 - 81% attack success rates for intention misclassification attacks that manipulate perceived driving maneuvers with perturbations below 0.45 m, and increases prediction errors by 1.9 - 4.2 for accuracy degradation. Our method consistently outperforms existing black-box approaches while maintaining high controllability and reliability across diverse scenarios. These results reveal fundamental vulnerabilities in current trajectory prediction systems, highlighting urgent needs for robust defenses in safety-critical autonomous driving applications.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_26462
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle DTP-Attack: A decision-based black-box adversarial attack on trajectory prediction
Li, Jiaxiang
Yan, Jun
Watzenig, Daniel
Yin, Huilin
Robotics
Trajectory prediction systems are critical for autonomous vehicle safety, yet remain vulnerable to adversarial attacks that can cause catastrophic traffic behavior misinterpretations. Existing attack methods require white-box access with gradient information and rely on rigid physical constraints, limiting real-world applicability. We propose DTP-Attack, a decision-based black-box adversarial attack framework tailored for trajectory prediction systems. Our method operates exclusively on binary decision outputs without requiring model internals or gradients, making it practical for real-world scenarios. DTP-Attack employs a novel boundary walking algorithm that navigates adversarial regions without fixed constraints, naturally maintaining trajectory realism through proximity preservation. Unlike existing approaches, our method supports both intention misclassification attacks and prediction accuracy degradation. Extensive evaluation on nuScenes and Apolloscape datasets across state-of-the-art models including Trajectron++ and Grip++ demonstrates superior performance. DTP-Attack achieves 41 - 81% attack success rates for intention misclassification attacks that manipulate perceived driving maneuvers with perturbations below 0.45 m, and increases prediction errors by 1.9 - 4.2 for accuracy degradation. Our method consistently outperforms existing black-box approaches while maintaining high controllability and reliability across diverse scenarios. These results reveal fundamental vulnerabilities in current trajectory prediction systems, highlighting urgent needs for robust defenses in safety-critical autonomous driving applications.
title DTP-Attack: A decision-based black-box adversarial attack on trajectory prediction
topic Robotics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.26462