Network Evolution and National Interests: Global Scientific Reorganization and the Rise of Scientific Nationalism

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Wagner, Caroline, Cai, Xiaojing
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
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author Wagner, Caroline
Cai, Xiaojing
author_facet Wagner, Caroline
Cai, Xiaojing
contents The global network of scientific cooperation has undergone major restructuring over the past two decades, with important implications for geopolitics and science policy. China's integration into this network has redistributed positions of influence in ways that challenge zero-sum views of national competition and security. Drawing on structural holes theory and the Bianconi-Barabasi fitness model, we argue that China's entry accelerated an ongoing process of network maturation. As China's scientific capacity expanded, it formed direct collaborations that reduced reliance on U.S. intermediation. Network analysis shows a large decline in U.S. betweenness centrality, while weighted measures remain stable, indicating a loss of brokerage advantages but continued strong bilateral ties. Granger causality tests suggest that China's early participation predicted later structural changes across fields. Results are consistent across six major domains.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_27350
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Network Evolution and National Interests: Global Scientific Reorganization and the Rise of Scientific Nationalism
Wagner, Caroline
Cai, Xiaojing
Other Statistics
The global network of scientific cooperation has undergone major restructuring over the past two decades, with important implications for geopolitics and science policy. China's integration into this network has redistributed positions of influence in ways that challenge zero-sum views of national competition and security. Drawing on structural holes theory and the Bianconi-Barabasi fitness model, we argue that China's entry accelerated an ongoing process of network maturation. As China's scientific capacity expanded, it formed direct collaborations that reduced reliance on U.S. intermediation. Network analysis shows a large decline in U.S. betweenness centrality, while weighted measures remain stable, indicating a loss of brokerage advantages but continued strong bilateral ties. Granger causality tests suggest that China's early participation predicted later structural changes across fields. Results are consistent across six major domains.
title Network Evolution and National Interests: Global Scientific Reorganization and the Rise of Scientific Nationalism
topic Other Statistics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.27350