CoE: Collaborative Entropy for Uncertainty Quantification in Agentic Multi-LLM Systems

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Sun, Kangkang, Wu, Jun, Li, Jianhua, Guo, Minyi, Che, Xiuzhen, Huang, Jianwei
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Sun, Kangkang
Wu, Jun
Li, Jianhua
Guo, Minyi
Che, Xiuzhen
Huang, Jianwei
author_facet Sun, Kangkang
Wu, Jun
Li, Jianhua
Guo, Minyi
Che, Xiuzhen
Huang, Jianwei
contents Uncertainty estimation in multi-LLM systems remains largely single-model-centric: existing methods quantify uncertainty within each model but do not adequately capture semantic disagreement across models. To address this gap, we propose Collaborative Entropy (CoE), a unified information-theoretic metric for semantic uncertainty in multi-LLM collaboration. CoE is defined on a shared semantic cluster space and combines two components: intra-model semantic entropy and inter-model divergence to the ensemble mean. CoE is not a weighted ensemble predictor; it is a system-level uncertainty measure that characterizes collaborative confidence and disagreement. We analyze several core properties of CoE, including non-negativity, zero-value certainty under perfect semantic consensus, and the behavior of CoE when individual models collapse to delta distributions. These results clarify when reducing per-model uncertainty is sufficient and when residual inter-model disagreement remains. We also present a simple CoE-guided, training-free post-hoc coordination heuristic as a practical application of the metric. Experiments on \textit{TriviaQA} and \textit{SQuAD} with LLaMA-3.1-8B-Instruct, Qwen-2.5-7B-Instruct, and Mistral-7B-Instruct show that CoE provides stronger uncertainty estimation than standard entropy- and divergence-based baselines, with gains becoming larger as additional heterogeneous models are introduced. Overall, CoE offers a useful uncertainty-aware perspective on multi-LLM collaboration.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2603_28360
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle CoE: Collaborative Entropy for Uncertainty Quantification in Agentic Multi-LLM Systems
Sun, Kangkang
Wu, Jun
Li, Jianhua
Guo, Minyi
Che, Xiuzhen
Huang, Jianwei
Artificial Intelligence
I.2.7, I.2.6
Uncertainty estimation in multi-LLM systems remains largely single-model-centric: existing methods quantify uncertainty within each model but do not adequately capture semantic disagreement across models. To address this gap, we propose Collaborative Entropy (CoE), a unified information-theoretic metric for semantic uncertainty in multi-LLM collaboration. CoE is defined on a shared semantic cluster space and combines two components: intra-model semantic entropy and inter-model divergence to the ensemble mean. CoE is not a weighted ensemble predictor; it is a system-level uncertainty measure that characterizes collaborative confidence and disagreement. We analyze several core properties of CoE, including non-negativity, zero-value certainty under perfect semantic consensus, and the behavior of CoE when individual models collapse to delta distributions. These results clarify when reducing per-model uncertainty is sufficient and when residual inter-model disagreement remains. We also present a simple CoE-guided, training-free post-hoc coordination heuristic as a practical application of the metric. Experiments on \textit{TriviaQA} and \textit{SQuAD} with LLaMA-3.1-8B-Instruct, Qwen-2.5-7B-Instruct, and Mistral-7B-Instruct show that CoE provides stronger uncertainty estimation than standard entropy- and divergence-based baselines, with gains becoming larger as additional heterogeneous models are introduced. Overall, CoE offers a useful uncertainty-aware perspective on multi-LLM collaboration.
title CoE: Collaborative Entropy for Uncertainty Quantification in Agentic Multi-LLM Systems
topic Artificial Intelligence
I.2.7, I.2.6
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.28360