Analytical characterisation of the Mi- and To-phases in HeMiTo dynamics: exponential growth and logistic saturation of toxic prion-like proteins

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1. Verfasser: Borgqvist, Johannes G.
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Veröffentlicht: 2026
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author Borgqvist, Johannes G.
author_facet Borgqvist, Johannes G.
contents Prion-like propagation of misfolded proteins is a key mechanism underlying the progression of neurodegenerative diseases such as Alzheimer's disease. In previous work, we introduced the HeMiTo framework, describing these prion-like dynamics for a class of heterodimer models in terms of three phases: the healthy (He), mixed (Mi), and toxic (To) phases. While the He-phase was characterised analytically, the Mi-phase was described numerically and the To-phase was inferred from linear stability arguments. In this work, we provide a complete analytical characterisation of the Mi- and To-phases for our class of heterodimer models. We derive exact inner solutions governing the Mi-phase and match them with outer solutions from the He-phase, explaining the concave-like behaviour of the healthy species and establishing explicit conditions for exponential growth of the toxic species with a mechanistically interpretable growth rate. Furthermore, we formalise a quasi steady-state reduction near the toxic steady state and show that the dynamics reduce to a logistic growth equation, linking exponential growth to saturation. Together, these results provide a unified and mechanistic description of prion-like dynamics across all phases of disease progression and establish a foundation for predictive modelling of biomarker trajectories.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_00871
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Analytical characterisation of the Mi- and To-phases in HeMiTo dynamics: exponential growth and logistic saturation of toxic prion-like proteins
Borgqvist, Johannes G.
Quantitative Methods
Dynamical Systems
Molecular Networks
Prion-like propagation of misfolded proteins is a key mechanism underlying the progression of neurodegenerative diseases such as Alzheimer's disease. In previous work, we introduced the HeMiTo framework, describing these prion-like dynamics for a class of heterodimer models in terms of three phases: the healthy (He), mixed (Mi), and toxic (To) phases. While the He-phase was characterised analytically, the Mi-phase was described numerically and the To-phase was inferred from linear stability arguments. In this work, we provide a complete analytical characterisation of the Mi- and To-phases for our class of heterodimer models. We derive exact inner solutions governing the Mi-phase and match them with outer solutions from the He-phase, explaining the concave-like behaviour of the healthy species and establishing explicit conditions for exponential growth of the toxic species with a mechanistically interpretable growth rate. Furthermore, we formalise a quasi steady-state reduction near the toxic steady state and show that the dynamics reduce to a logistic growth equation, linking exponential growth to saturation. Together, these results provide a unified and mechanistic description of prion-like dynamics across all phases of disease progression and establish a foundation for predictive modelling of biomarker trajectories.
title Analytical characterisation of the Mi- and To-phases in HeMiTo dynamics: exponential growth and logistic saturation of toxic prion-like proteins
topic Quantitative Methods
Dynamical Systems
Molecular Networks
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.00871