Mean-Field Control of Adherence in Participation-Coupled Vehicle Rebalancing Systems

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Brar, Avalpreet Singh, Su, Rong, Kaur, Jaskaranveer, Zardini, Gioele
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Brar, Avalpreet Singh
Su, Rong
Kaur, Jaskaranveer
Zardini, Gioele
author_facet Brar, Avalpreet Singh
Su, Rong
Kaur, Jaskaranveer
Zardini, Gioele
contents Human driver participation is a critical source of uncertainty in Mobility-on-Demand (MoD) rebalancing. Drivers follow platform recommendations probabilistically, and their willingness to comply evolves with experienced outcomes. This creates a closed-loop feedback in which stronger recommendations increase participation, participation increases congestion, congestion lowers allocation success, and realized allocations update adherence beliefs. We propose a microscopic stochastic model that couples (i) belief-driven participation, (ii) Poisson demand, (iii) uniform matching, and (iv) Beta--Bernoulli belief updates. Under a large-population closure, we derive a deterministic mean-field recursion for the population adherence state under platform actuation. For i.i.d. Poisson demand and constant recommendation intensity, we prove global well-posedness and invariance of the recursion, establish equilibrium existence, provide uniqueness conditions, and show global convergence in the regime where platform recommendations are no weaker than baseline participation. We then define steady-state adherence and throughput, characterize the induced performance frontier, and show that adherence and throughput cannot, in general, be simultaneously maximized under uniform time-invariant actuation. This yields a throughput-maximization problem with an adherence floor. Exploiting the monotone frontier structure, we show the optimal uniform time-invariant policy is the maximal feasible recommendation intensity and provide an efficient bisection-based algorithm.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_00950
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Mean-Field Control of Adherence in Participation-Coupled Vehicle Rebalancing Systems
Brar, Avalpreet Singh
Su, Rong
Kaur, Jaskaranveer
Zardini, Gioele
Systems and Control
Human driver participation is a critical source of uncertainty in Mobility-on-Demand (MoD) rebalancing. Drivers follow platform recommendations probabilistically, and their willingness to comply evolves with experienced outcomes. This creates a closed-loop feedback in which stronger recommendations increase participation, participation increases congestion, congestion lowers allocation success, and realized allocations update adherence beliefs. We propose a microscopic stochastic model that couples (i) belief-driven participation, (ii) Poisson demand, (iii) uniform matching, and (iv) Beta--Bernoulli belief updates. Under a large-population closure, we derive a deterministic mean-field recursion for the population adherence state under platform actuation. For i.i.d. Poisson demand and constant recommendation intensity, we prove global well-posedness and invariance of the recursion, establish equilibrium existence, provide uniqueness conditions, and show global convergence in the regime where platform recommendations are no weaker than baseline participation. We then define steady-state adherence and throughput, characterize the induced performance frontier, and show that adherence and throughput cannot, in general, be simultaneously maximized under uniform time-invariant actuation. This yields a throughput-maximization problem with an adherence floor. Exploiting the monotone frontier structure, we show the optimal uniform time-invariant policy is the maximal feasible recommendation intensity and provide an efficient bisection-based algorithm.
title Mean-Field Control of Adherence in Participation-Coupled Vehicle Rebalancing Systems
topic Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.00950