Causal Optimal Coupling for Gaussian Input-Output Distributional Data

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Xu, Daran, Taghvaei, Amirhossein
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author Xu, Daran
Taghvaei, Amirhossein
author_facet Xu, Daran
Taghvaei, Amirhossein
contents We study the problem of identifying an optimal coupling between input-output distributional data generated by a causal dynamical system. The coupling is required to satisfy prescribed marginal distributions and a causality constraint reflecting the temporal structure of the system. We formulate this problem as a Schr"odinger Bridge, which seeks the coupling closest - in Kullback-Leibler divergence - to a given prior while enforcing both marginal and causality constraints. For the case of Gaussian marginals and general time-dependent quadratic cost functions, we derive a fully tractable characterization of the Sinkhorn iterations that converges to the optimal solution. Beyond its theoretical contribution, the proposed framework provides a principled foundation for applying causal optimal transport methods to system identification from distributional data.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_01406
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Causal Optimal Coupling for Gaussian Input-Output Distributional Data
Xu, Daran
Taghvaei, Amirhossein
Systems and Control
Machine Learning
Optimization and Control
Probability
We study the problem of identifying an optimal coupling between input-output distributional data generated by a causal dynamical system. The coupling is required to satisfy prescribed marginal distributions and a causality constraint reflecting the temporal structure of the system. We formulate this problem as a Schr"odinger Bridge, which seeks the coupling closest - in Kullback-Leibler divergence - to a given prior while enforcing both marginal and causality constraints. For the case of Gaussian marginals and general time-dependent quadratic cost functions, we derive a fully tractable characterization of the Sinkhorn iterations that converges to the optimal solution. Beyond its theoretical contribution, the proposed framework provides a principled foundation for applying causal optimal transport methods to system identification from distributional data.
title Causal Optimal Coupling for Gaussian Input-Output Distributional Data
topic Systems and Control
Machine Learning
Optimization and Control
Probability
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.01406