Speed-Error Cross-Correlation Dating of Ancient Star Catalogues, with Application to the Almagest
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arXiv
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| Format: | Preprint |
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2026
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| _version_ | 1866910099133431808 |
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| author | Orts, Carlos Baiget |
| author_facet | Orts, Carlos Baiget |
| contents | We present SESCC (Speed-Error Signals Cross-Correlation), a method for dating ancient star catalogues from the cross-correlation between stellar proper-motion speeds and positional residuals. At the true epoch, residuals are independent of proper-motion speed; the epoch estimate is the trial date that minimises this cross-correlation. For ecliptic latitudes, SESCC applies the dot product between speeds and residuals across all catalogue stars without subset selection or linear modelling. For ecliptic longitudes, SESCC-pairs uses pairwise longitude differences between neighbouring stars, making the method immune to any global longitude offset by algebraic construction. Validated against Tycho Brahe (1547 CE, true ~1580 CE) and Ulugh Beg (1452 CE, true 1437 CE), and confirmed invariant under offsets of +-6 deg, the method is applied to the Almagest. Both coordinates yield bootstrap distributions with 74% pre-Christian minima, consistent with a Hipparchan origin and inconsistent with a Ptolemaic one. The near-absence of quarter-degree fractions in the Almagest longitudes, explained as the deterministic consequence of Ptolemy's precession correction, provides independent corroboration. |
| format | Preprint |
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arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_02521 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2026 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Speed-Error Cross-Correlation Dating of Ancient Star Catalogues, with Application to the Almagest Orts, Carlos Baiget Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics History and Philosophy of Physics We present SESCC (Speed-Error Signals Cross-Correlation), a method for dating ancient star catalogues from the cross-correlation between stellar proper-motion speeds and positional residuals. At the true epoch, residuals are independent of proper-motion speed; the epoch estimate is the trial date that minimises this cross-correlation. For ecliptic latitudes, SESCC applies the dot product between speeds and residuals across all catalogue stars without subset selection or linear modelling. For ecliptic longitudes, SESCC-pairs uses pairwise longitude differences between neighbouring stars, making the method immune to any global longitude offset by algebraic construction. Validated against Tycho Brahe (1547 CE, true ~1580 CE) and Ulugh Beg (1452 CE, true 1437 CE), and confirmed invariant under offsets of +-6 deg, the method is applied to the Almagest. Both coordinates yield bootstrap distributions with 74% pre-Christian minima, consistent with a Hipparchan origin and inconsistent with a Ptolemaic one. The near-absence of quarter-degree fractions in the Almagest longitudes, explained as the deterministic consequence of Ptolemy's precession correction, provides independent corroboration. |
| title | Speed-Error Cross-Correlation Dating of Ancient Star Catalogues, with Application to the Almagest |
| topic | Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics History and Philosophy of Physics |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.02521 |