Data-Driven Nonconvex Reachability Analysis using Exact Set Propagation

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Main Authors: Zhang, Zhen, Niazi, M. Umar B., Chong, Michelle S., Johansson, Karl H., Alanwar, Amr
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author Zhang, Zhen
Niazi, M. Umar B.
Chong, Michelle S.
Johansson, Karl H.
Alanwar, Amr
author_facet Zhang, Zhen
Niazi, M. Umar B.
Chong, Michelle S.
Johansson, Karl H.
Alanwar, Amr
contents This paper studies deterministic data-driven reachability analysis for dynamical systems with unknown dynamics and nonconvex reachable sets. Existing deterministic data-driven approaches typically employ zonotopic set representations, for which the multiplication between a zonotopic model set and a zonotopic state set cannot be represented algebraically exactly, thereby necessitating over-approximation steps in reachable-set propagation. To remove this structural source of conservatism, we introduce constrained polynomial matrix zonotopes (CPMZs) to represent data-consistent model sets, and show that the multiplication between a CPMZ model set and a constrained polynomial zonotope (CPZ) state set admits an algebraically exact CPZ representation. This property enables set propagation entirely within the CPZ representation, thereby avoiding propagation-induced over-approximation and even retaining the ability to represent nonconvex reachable sets. Moreover, we develop set-theoretic results that enable the intersection of data-consistent model sets as new data become available, yielding the proposed online refinement scheme that progressively tightens the data-consistent model set and, in turn, the resulting reachable set. Beyond linear systems, we extend the proposed framework to polynomial dynamics and develop additional set-theoretic results that enable both model-based and data-driven reachability analysis within the same algebraic representation. By deriving algebraically exact CPZ representations for monomials and their compositions, reachable-set propagation can be carried out directly at the set level without resorting to interval arithmetic or relaxation-based bounding techniques. Numerical examples for both linear and polynomial systems demonstrate a significant reduction in conservatism compared to state-of-the-art deterministic data-driven reachability methods.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_02625
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Data-Driven Nonconvex Reachability Analysis using Exact Set Propagation
Zhang, Zhen
Niazi, M. Umar B.
Chong, Michelle S.
Johansson, Karl H.
Alanwar, Amr
Systems and Control
This paper studies deterministic data-driven reachability analysis for dynamical systems with unknown dynamics and nonconvex reachable sets. Existing deterministic data-driven approaches typically employ zonotopic set representations, for which the multiplication between a zonotopic model set and a zonotopic state set cannot be represented algebraically exactly, thereby necessitating over-approximation steps in reachable-set propagation. To remove this structural source of conservatism, we introduce constrained polynomial matrix zonotopes (CPMZs) to represent data-consistent model sets, and show that the multiplication between a CPMZ model set and a constrained polynomial zonotope (CPZ) state set admits an algebraically exact CPZ representation. This property enables set propagation entirely within the CPZ representation, thereby avoiding propagation-induced over-approximation and even retaining the ability to represent nonconvex reachable sets. Moreover, we develop set-theoretic results that enable the intersection of data-consistent model sets as new data become available, yielding the proposed online refinement scheme that progressively tightens the data-consistent model set and, in turn, the resulting reachable set. Beyond linear systems, we extend the proposed framework to polynomial dynamics and develop additional set-theoretic results that enable both model-based and data-driven reachability analysis within the same algebraic representation. By deriving algebraically exact CPZ representations for monomials and their compositions, reachable-set propagation can be carried out directly at the set level without resorting to interval arithmetic or relaxation-based bounding techniques. Numerical examples for both linear and polynomial systems demonstrate a significant reduction in conservatism compared to state-of-the-art deterministic data-driven reachability methods.
title Data-Driven Nonconvex Reachability Analysis using Exact Set Propagation
topic Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.02625