Fréchet Regression on the Bures-Wasserstein Manifold

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Main Authors: Nguyen, Duc Toan, Uribe, César A.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author Nguyen, Duc Toan
Uribe, César A.
author_facet Nguyen, Duc Toan
Uribe, César A.
contents Fréchet regression, or conditional Barycenters, is a flexible framework for modeling relationships between covariates (usually Euclidean) and response variables on general metric spaces, e.g., probability distributions or positive definite matrices. However, in contrast to classical barycenter problems, computing conditional counterparts in many non-Euclidean spaces remains an open challenge, as they yield non-convex optimization problems with an affine structure. In this work, we study the existence and computation of conditional barycenters, specifically in the space of positive-definite matrices with the Bures-Wasserstein metric. We provide a sufficient condition for the existence of a minimizer of the conditional barycenter problem that characterizes the regression range of extrapolation. Moreover, we further characterize the optimization landscape, proving that under this condition, the objective is free of local maxima. Additionally, we develop a projection-free and provably correct algorithm for the approximate computation of first-order stationary points. Finally, we provide a stochastic reformulation that enables the use of off-the-shelf stochastic Riemannian optimization methods for large-scale setups. Numerical experiments validate the performance of the proposed methods on regression problems of real-world biological networks and on large-scale synthetic Diffusion Tensor Imaging problems.
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id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_03566
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Fréchet Regression on the Bures-Wasserstein Manifold
Nguyen, Duc Toan
Uribe, César A.
Optimization and Control
Machine Learning
Fréchet regression, or conditional Barycenters, is a flexible framework for modeling relationships between covariates (usually Euclidean) and response variables on general metric spaces, e.g., probability distributions or positive definite matrices. However, in contrast to classical barycenter problems, computing conditional counterparts in many non-Euclidean spaces remains an open challenge, as they yield non-convex optimization problems with an affine structure. In this work, we study the existence and computation of conditional barycenters, specifically in the space of positive-definite matrices with the Bures-Wasserstein metric. We provide a sufficient condition for the existence of a minimizer of the conditional barycenter problem that characterizes the regression range of extrapolation. Moreover, we further characterize the optimization landscape, proving that under this condition, the objective is free of local maxima. Additionally, we develop a projection-free and provably correct algorithm for the approximate computation of first-order stationary points. Finally, we provide a stochastic reformulation that enables the use of off-the-shelf stochastic Riemannian optimization methods for large-scale setups. Numerical experiments validate the performance of the proposed methods on regression problems of real-world biological networks and on large-scale synthetic Diffusion Tensor Imaging problems.
title Fréchet Regression on the Bures-Wasserstein Manifold
topic Optimization and Control
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.03566