The Depth Ceiling: On the Limits of Large Language Models in Discovering Latent Planning

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Hauptverfasser: Xu, Yi, Jettkant, Philipp, Ruis, Laura
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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author Xu, Yi
Jettkant, Philipp
Ruis, Laura
author_facet Xu, Yi
Jettkant, Philipp
Ruis, Laura
contents The viability of chain-of-thought (CoT) monitoring hinges on models being unable to reason effectively in their latent representations. Yet little is known about the limits of such latent reasoning in LLMs. We test these limits by studying whether models can discover multi-step planning strategies without supervision on intermediate steps and execute them latently, within a single forward pass. Using graph path-finding tasks that precisely control the number of required latent planning steps, we uncover a striking limitation unresolved by massive scaling: tiny transformers trained from scratch discover strategies requiring up to three latent steps, fine-tuned GPT-4o and Qwen3-32B reach five, and GPT-5.4 attains seven under few-shot prompting. Although the maximum latent planning depth models can learn during training is five, the discovered strategy generalizes up to eight latent steps at test-time. This reveals a dissociation between the ability to discover a latent strategy under final-answer supervision alone and the ability to execute it once discovered. If similar limits hold more broadly, strategies requiring multiple coordinated latent planning steps may need to be explicitly taught or externalized, lending credence to CoT monitoring.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_06427
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Depth Ceiling: On the Limits of Large Language Models in Discovering Latent Planning
Xu, Yi
Jettkant, Philipp
Ruis, Laura
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Computation and Language
The viability of chain-of-thought (CoT) monitoring hinges on models being unable to reason effectively in their latent representations. Yet little is known about the limits of such latent reasoning in LLMs. We test these limits by studying whether models can discover multi-step planning strategies without supervision on intermediate steps and execute them latently, within a single forward pass. Using graph path-finding tasks that precisely control the number of required latent planning steps, we uncover a striking limitation unresolved by massive scaling: tiny transformers trained from scratch discover strategies requiring up to three latent steps, fine-tuned GPT-4o and Qwen3-32B reach five, and GPT-5.4 attains seven under few-shot prompting. Although the maximum latent planning depth models can learn during training is five, the discovered strategy generalizes up to eight latent steps at test-time. This reveals a dissociation between the ability to discover a latent strategy under final-answer supervision alone and the ability to execute it once discovered. If similar limits hold more broadly, strategies requiring multiple coordinated latent planning steps may need to be explicitly taught or externalized, lending credence to CoT monitoring.
title The Depth Ceiling: On the Limits of Large Language Models in Discovering Latent Planning
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.06427