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| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Format: | Preprint |
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2026
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.07106 |
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| _version_ | 1866913016099897344 |
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| author | Du, Qintao Li, Ran Lv, Weiyi Zhou, Huan Yu, Moduo Liu, Jianzhe |
| author_facet | Du, Qintao Li, Ran Lv, Weiyi Zhou, Huan Yu, Moduo Liu, Jianzhe |
| contents | Conservation Voltage Reduction (CVR) relies on the effective coordination of slow-acting devices, such as OLTCs and CBs, and fast-acting devices, such as SVGs and PV inverters, typically implemented through a hierarchical multi-stage Volt-Var Control (VVC) spanning day-ahead scheduling, intra-day dispatch, and real-time control. However, existing sequential methods fail to account for the cas-cading impact of forecast errors on multi-stage decision-making. This oversight results in suboptimal day-ahead schedules for OLTCs and CBs that hinder the ef-fective coordination with fast-acting SVGs and inverters, inevitably driving a trade-off between real-time voltage security and CVR efficiency. To improve the Pareto front of this trade-off, this paper proposes a novel bi-level multi-timescale forecasting (Bi-MTF) framework for multi-stage VVC optimization. By integrating the downstream multi-stage VVC optimization into the upstream forecasting mod-els training, the decision-focused forecasting models are able to learn the trade-offs across temporal horizons. To solve the computationally challenging bi-level for-mulation, a modified sensitivity-driven integer L-shaped method is developed. It utilizes a hybrid gradient feedback mechanism that integrates numerical sensitivity analysis for discrete variables with analytical dual information for continuous fore-cast parameters to ensure tractability. Numerical results on a modified IEEE 33-bus system demonstrate that the proposed approach yields superior energy savings and operational safety compared to conventional MSE-based sequential paradigms. Specifically, as the capacity of fast-acting devices increases, the energy savings of the proposed method rise from 2.74% to 3.41%, which is far superior to the 1.50% to 1.76% achieved by conventional MSE-based sequential paradigms. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_07106 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2026 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Decision-focused Conservation Voltage Reduction to Consider the Cascading Impact of Forecast Errors Du, Qintao Li, Ran Lv, Weiyi Zhou, Huan Yu, Moduo Liu, Jianzhe Systems and Control Conservation Voltage Reduction (CVR) relies on the effective coordination of slow-acting devices, such as OLTCs and CBs, and fast-acting devices, such as SVGs and PV inverters, typically implemented through a hierarchical multi-stage Volt-Var Control (VVC) spanning day-ahead scheduling, intra-day dispatch, and real-time control. However, existing sequential methods fail to account for the cas-cading impact of forecast errors on multi-stage decision-making. This oversight results in suboptimal day-ahead schedules for OLTCs and CBs that hinder the ef-fective coordination with fast-acting SVGs and inverters, inevitably driving a trade-off between real-time voltage security and CVR efficiency. To improve the Pareto front of this trade-off, this paper proposes a novel bi-level multi-timescale forecasting (Bi-MTF) framework for multi-stage VVC optimization. By integrating the downstream multi-stage VVC optimization into the upstream forecasting mod-els training, the decision-focused forecasting models are able to learn the trade-offs across temporal horizons. To solve the computationally challenging bi-level for-mulation, a modified sensitivity-driven integer L-shaped method is developed. It utilizes a hybrid gradient feedback mechanism that integrates numerical sensitivity analysis for discrete variables with analytical dual information for continuous fore-cast parameters to ensure tractability. Numerical results on a modified IEEE 33-bus system demonstrate that the proposed approach yields superior energy savings and operational safety compared to conventional MSE-based sequential paradigms. Specifically, as the capacity of fast-acting devices increases, the energy savings of the proposed method rise from 2.74% to 3.41%, which is far superior to the 1.50% to 1.76% achieved by conventional MSE-based sequential paradigms. |
| title | Decision-focused Conservation Voltage Reduction to Consider the Cascading Impact of Forecast Errors |
| topic | Systems and Control |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.07106 |