Transformers Learn Latent Mixture Models In-Context via Mirror Descent

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: D'Angelo, Francesco, Flammarion, Nicolas
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
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author D'Angelo, Francesco
Flammarion, Nicolas
author_facet D'Angelo, Francesco
Flammarion, Nicolas
contents Sequence modelling requires determining which past tokens are causally relevant from the context and their importance: a process inherent to the attention layers in transformers, yet whose underlying learned mechanisms remain poorly understood. In this work, we formalize the task of estimating token importance as an in-context learning problem by introducing a framework based on Mixture of Transition Distributions, where a latent variable determines the influence of past tokens on the next. The distribution over this latent variable is parameterized by unobserved mixture weights that transformers must learn in-context. We demonstrate that transformers can implement Mirror Descent to learn these weights from the context. Specifically, we give an explicit construction of a three-layer transformer that exactly implements one step of Mirror Descent and prove that the resulting estimator is a first-order approximation of the Bayes-optimal predictor. Corroborating our construction and its learnability via gradient descent, we empirically show that transformers trained from scratch learn solutions consistent with our theory: their predictive distributions, attention patterns, and learned transition matrix closely match the construction, while deeper models achieve performance comparable to multi-step Mirror Descent.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_10848
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Transformers Learn Latent Mixture Models In-Context via Mirror Descent
D'Angelo, Francesco
Flammarion, Nicolas
Machine Learning
Sequence modelling requires determining which past tokens are causally relevant from the context and their importance: a process inherent to the attention layers in transformers, yet whose underlying learned mechanisms remain poorly understood. In this work, we formalize the task of estimating token importance as an in-context learning problem by introducing a framework based on Mixture of Transition Distributions, where a latent variable determines the influence of past tokens on the next. The distribution over this latent variable is parameterized by unobserved mixture weights that transformers must learn in-context. We demonstrate that transformers can implement Mirror Descent to learn these weights from the context. Specifically, we give an explicit construction of a three-layer transformer that exactly implements one step of Mirror Descent and prove that the resulting estimator is a first-order approximation of the Bayes-optimal predictor. Corroborating our construction and its learnability via gradient descent, we empirically show that transformers trained from scratch learn solutions consistent with our theory: their predictive distributions, attention patterns, and learned transition matrix closely match the construction, while deeper models achieve performance comparable to multi-step Mirror Descent.
title Transformers Learn Latent Mixture Models In-Context via Mirror Descent
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.10848