Confidence envelopes for the false discoveries with heterogeneous data

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Périer, Romain, Blanchard, Gilles, Döhler, Sebastian, Durand, Guillermo, Roquain, Etienne
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author Périer, Romain
Blanchard, Gilles
Döhler, Sebastian
Durand, Guillermo
Roquain, Etienne
author_facet Périer, Romain
Blanchard, Gilles
Döhler, Sebastian
Durand, Guillermo
Roquain, Etienne
contents In the context of selective inference, confidence envelopes for the false discoveries allow the user to select any subset of null hypotheses while having a statistical guarantee on the number of false discoveries in the selected set. Many constructions of such envelopes have been proposed recently, using local test families (Genovese and Wasserman, 2006; Goeman and Solari, 2011), paths (Katsevich and Ramdas, 2020) or interpolation (Blanchard et al., 2020a). All those methods have in common that they have been well-studied for the homogeneous case where all p-values under the null have a uniform distribution over [0, 1]. However, in many applications the data are heterogeneous and discrete, hence the p-values have heterogeneous, discrete distributions, and the previous constructions may incur a loss of power, in the sense that they over-estimate the number of false discoveries. In this paper, we bridge the previous constructions under the homogeneous case with new tools. We also apply these tools to propose several confidence envelopes based on tools tailored for heterogeneous data, like the Bretagnolle inequality, or a new variant of the Simes inequality. We compare these new envelopes to their homogeneous counterparts on simulated data.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_11812
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Confidence envelopes for the false discoveries with heterogeneous data
Périer, Romain
Blanchard, Gilles
Döhler, Sebastian
Durand, Guillermo
Roquain, Etienne
Statistics Theory
Methodology
In the context of selective inference, confidence envelopes for the false discoveries allow the user to select any subset of null hypotheses while having a statistical guarantee on the number of false discoveries in the selected set. Many constructions of such envelopes have been proposed recently, using local test families (Genovese and Wasserman, 2006; Goeman and Solari, 2011), paths (Katsevich and Ramdas, 2020) or interpolation (Blanchard et al., 2020a). All those methods have in common that they have been well-studied for the homogeneous case where all p-values under the null have a uniform distribution over [0, 1]. However, in many applications the data are heterogeneous and discrete, hence the p-values have heterogeneous, discrete distributions, and the previous constructions may incur a loss of power, in the sense that they over-estimate the number of false discoveries. In this paper, we bridge the previous constructions under the homogeneous case with new tools. We also apply these tools to propose several confidence envelopes based on tools tailored for heterogeneous data, like the Bretagnolle inequality, or a new variant of the Simes inequality. We compare these new envelopes to their homogeneous counterparts on simulated data.
title Confidence envelopes for the false discoveries with heterogeneous data
topic Statistics Theory
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.11812