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| Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Preprint |
| Published: |
2026
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.14251 |
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Table of Contents:
- Monitoring LLM safety at scale requires balancing cost and accuracy: a cheap latent-space probe can screen every input, but hard cases should be escalated to a more expensive expert. Existing cascades delegate based on probe uncertainty, but uncertainty is a poor proxy for delegation benefit, as it ignores whether the expert would actually correct the error. To address this problem, we introduce Calibrate-Then-Delegate (CTD), a model-cascade approach that provides probabilistic guarantees on the computation cost while enabling instance-level (streaming) decisions. CTD builds on a novel delegation value (DV) probe, a lightweight model operating on the same internal representations as the safety probe that directly predicts the benefit of escalation. To enforce budget constraints, CTD calibrates a threshold on the DV signal using held-out data via multiple hypothesis testing, yielding finite-sample guarantees on the delegation rate. Evaluated on four safety datasets, CTD consistently outperforms uncertainty-based delegation at every budget level, avoids harmful over-delegation, and adapts budget allocation to input difficulty without requiring group labels.