Emergent structure in the binary black hole mass distribution and implications for population-based cosmology

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Gennari, Vasco, Bertheas, Tom, Tamanini, Nicola
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
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author Gennari, Vasco
Bertheas, Tom
Tamanini, Nicola
author_facet Gennari, Vasco
Bertheas, Tom
Tamanini, Nicola
contents Gravitational waves provide a powerful probe of both the astrophysical processes driving black hole mergers and the dynamics of the Universe, but these measurements rely on accurately inferring the unknown underlying population. We perform an agnostic reconstruction of the primary mass distribution using B-splines, characterising the emergence of structure with increasing model complexity. Using the latest gravitational-wave transient catalog, GWTC-4.0, we identify multiple mass features and find evidence suggesting a logarithmic hierarchy in the population. We show that this structure directly impacts measurements of the Hubble constant, primarily through features at the population boundaries. Finally, we introduce an approach that isolates a subpopulation of low-mass events to mitigate modelling systematics, providing a promising path toward robust population-based cosmology with future datasets.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_14290
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Emergent structure in the binary black hole mass distribution and implications for population-based cosmology
Gennari, Vasco
Bertheas, Tom
Tamanini, Nicola
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
Gravitational waves provide a powerful probe of both the astrophysical processes driving black hole mergers and the dynamics of the Universe, but these measurements rely on accurately inferring the unknown underlying population. We perform an agnostic reconstruction of the primary mass distribution using B-splines, characterising the emergence of structure with increasing model complexity. Using the latest gravitational-wave transient catalog, GWTC-4.0, we identify multiple mass features and find evidence suggesting a logarithmic hierarchy in the population. We show that this structure directly impacts measurements of the Hubble constant, primarily through features at the population boundaries. Finally, we introduce an approach that isolates a subpopulation of low-mass events to mitigate modelling systematics, providing a promising path toward robust population-based cosmology with future datasets.
title Emergent structure in the binary black hole mass distribution and implications for population-based cosmology
topic General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.14290