Who Saw It Coming? Historical Experience and the 2021 Inflation Forecast Failure
Fuente:
arXiv
Saved in:
| Main Author: | Stevanovic, Dalibor |
|---|---|
| Format: | Preprint |
| Published: |
2026
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
Similar Items
Origins and Nature of Macroeconomic Instability in Vector Autoregressions
by: Amir-Ahmadi, Pooyan, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Amir-Ahmadi, Pooyan, et al.
Published: (2025)
Monetary Policy in the Media Spotlight: Sentiments, Signals, and Economic Impact
by: Ayivodji, Firmin, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Ayivodji, Firmin, et al.
Published: (2026)
Momentum Informed Inflation-at-Risk
by: Szendrei, Tibor, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Szendrei, Tibor, et al.
Published: (2024)
Mixing it up: Inflation at risk
by: Schröder, Maximilian
Published: (2024)
by: Schröder, Maximilian
Published: (2024)
A Model of the Fed's View on Inflation
by: Hasenzagl, Thomas, et al.
Published: (2020)
by: Hasenzagl, Thomas, et al.
Published: (2020)
The Role of Carbon Pricing in Food Inflation: Evidence from Canadian Provinces
by: Xu, Jiansong
Published: (2024)
by: Xu, Jiansong
Published: (2024)
Common and Idiosyncratic Inflation
by: Hie Joo Ahn, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Hie Joo Ahn, et al.
Published: (2025)
Who With Whom? Learning Optimal Matching Policies
by: Hazard, Yagan, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Hazard, Yagan, et al.
Published: (2025)
Who Matters to Whom? Identifying Peer Effects with Propagation Geometry
by: Tchuente, Guy
Published: (2026)
by: Tchuente, Guy
Published: (2026)
Maximally Forward-Looking Core Inflation
by: Coulombe, Philippe Goulet, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Coulombe, Philippe Goulet, et al.
Published: (2024)
A Measure of Trend Wage Inflation
by: Martín Almuzara, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Martín Almuzara, et al.
Published: (2025)
Inflation Target at Risk: A Time-varying Parameter Distributional Regression
by: Wang, Yunyun, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Wang, Yunyun, et al.
Published: (2024)
Corrected Forecast Combinations
by: Liu, Chu-An, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Liu, Chu-An, et al.
Published: (2026)
Forecasted Treatment Effects
by: Botosaru, Irene, et al.
Published: (2023)
by: Botosaru, Irene, et al.
Published: (2023)
Forecasting for monetary policy
by: Coroneo, Laura
Published: (2025)
by: Coroneo, Laura
Published: (2025)
Forecast Relative Error Decomposition
by: Gourieroux, Christian, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Gourieroux, Christian, et al.
Published: (2024)
Forecasting with Neuro-Dynamic Programming
by: Fernandes, Pedro Afonso
Published: (2024)
by: Fernandes, Pedro Afonso
Published: (2024)
Forecasting Political Stability in GCC Countries
by: Goldani, Mahdi
Published: (2024)
by: Goldani, Mahdi
Published: (2024)
Intraday Functional PCA Forecasting of Cryptocurrency Returns
by: Jasiak, Joann, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Jasiak, Joann, et al.
Published: (2025)
Reservoir Computing for Macroeconomic Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Data
by: Ballarin, Giovanni, et al.
Published: (2022)
by: Ballarin, Giovanni, et al.
Published: (2022)
Nonlinear Forecast Error Variance Decompositions with Hermite Polynomials
by: Lee, Quinlan
Published: (2025)
by: Lee, Quinlan
Published: (2025)
Regime-Switching Density Forecasts Using Economists' Scenarios
by: Moramarco, Graziano
Published: (2021)
by: Moramarco, Graziano
Published: (2021)
A Real-Time Framework for Forecasting Metal Prices
by: Bastianin, Andrea, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Bastianin, Andrea, et al.
Published: (2025)
Forecasting realized covariances using HAR-type models
by: Quiroz, Matias, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Quiroz, Matias, et al.
Published: (2024)
Misspecification-Robust Shrinkage and Selection for VAR Forecasts and IRFs
by: González-Casasús, Oriol, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: González-Casasús, Oriol, et al.
Published: (2025)
Automated Demand Forecasting in small to medium-sized enterprises
by: Gaertner, Thomas, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Gaertner, Thomas, et al.
Published: (2024)
Return and Volatility Forecasting Using On-Chain Flows in Cryptocurrency Markets
by: Chi, Yeguang, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Chi, Yeguang, et al.
Published: (2024)
Forecasting with panel data: Estimation uncertainty versus parameter heterogeneity
by: Pesaran, M. Hashem, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Pesaran, M. Hashem, et al.
Published: (2024)
Forecasting CPI inflation under economic policy and geopolitical uncertainties
by: Sengupta, Shovon, et al.
Published: (2023)
by: Sengupta, Shovon, et al.
Published: (2023)
Forecasting short-term inflation in Argentina with Random Forest Models
by: Forte, Federico Daniel
Published: (2024)
by: Forte, Federico Daniel
Published: (2024)
Binary Response Forecasting under a Factor-Augmented Framework
by: Cheng, Tingting, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Cheng, Tingting, et al.
Published: (2025)
Forecasting Thai inflation from univariate Bayesian regression perspective
by: Taveeapiradeecharoen, Paponpat, et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Taveeapiradeecharoen, Paponpat, et al.
Published: (2025)
Predictive Synthesis under Sporadic Participation: Evidence from Inflation Density Surveys
by: Johnson, Matthew C., et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Johnson, Matthew C., et al.
Published: (2026)
Forecasting on the Accuracy-Timeliness Frontier: Two Novel `Look Ahead' Predictors
by: Wildi, Marc
Published: (2026)
by: Wildi, Marc
Published: (2026)
Dynamic Mortality Forecasting via Mixed-Frequency State-Space Models
by: Li, Runze, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Li, Runze, et al.
Published: (2026)
Conditional Forecasts in Large Bayesian VARs with Multiple Equality and Inequality Constraints
by: Chan, Joshua C. C., et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Chan, Joshua C. C., et al.
Published: (2024)
Time Series Embedding and Combination of Forecasts: A Reinforcement Learning Approach
by: Medeiros, Marcelo C., et al.
Published: (2025)
by: Medeiros, Marcelo C., et al.
Published: (2025)
Bayesian Bi-level Sparse Group Regressions for Macroeconomic Density Forecasting
by: Mogliani, Matteo, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Mogliani, Matteo, et al.
Published: (2024)
How to Compare Copula Forecasts?
by: Fissler, Tobias, et al.
Published: (2024)
by: Fissler, Tobias, et al.
Published: (2024)
Forecasting Oil Consumption: The Statistical Review of World Energy Meets Machine Learning
by: Ditzen, Jan, et al.
Published: (2026)
by: Ditzen, Jan, et al.
Published: (2026)
Similar Items
-
Origins and Nature of Macroeconomic Instability in Vector Autoregressions
by: Amir-Ahmadi, Pooyan, et al.
Published: (2025) -
Monetary Policy in the Media Spotlight: Sentiments, Signals, and Economic Impact
by: Ayivodji, Firmin, et al.
Published: (2026) -
Momentum Informed Inflation-at-Risk
by: Szendrei, Tibor, et al.
Published: (2024) -
Mixing it up: Inflation at risk
by: Schröder, Maximilian
Published: (2024) -
A Model of the Fed's View on Inflation
by: Hasenzagl, Thomas, et al.
Published: (2020)