Theta-regularized Kriging: Modelling and Algorithms

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Hauptverfasser: Xie, Xuelin, Lu, Xiliang
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2026
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author Xie, Xuelin
Lu, Xiliang
author_facet Xie, Xuelin
Lu, Xiliang
contents To obtain more accurate model parameters and improve prediction accuracy, we proposed a regularized Kriging model that penalizes the hyperparameter theta in the Gaussian stochastic process, termed the Theta-regularized Kriging. We derived the optimization problem for this model from a maximum likelihood perspective. Additionally, we presented specific implementation details for the iterative process, including the regularized optimization algorithm and the geometric search cross-validation tuning algorithm. Three distinct penalty methods, Lasso, Ridge, and Elastic-net regularization, were meticulously considered. Meanwhile, the proposed Theta-regularized Kriging models were tested on nine common numerical functions and two practical engineering examples. The results demonstrate that, compared with other penalized Kriging models, the proposed model performs better in terms of accuracy and stability.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_14975
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Theta-regularized Kriging: Modelling and Algorithms
Xie, Xuelin
Lu, Xiliang
Computation
Numerical Analysis
Applications
Machine Learning
To obtain more accurate model parameters and improve prediction accuracy, we proposed a regularized Kriging model that penalizes the hyperparameter theta in the Gaussian stochastic process, termed the Theta-regularized Kriging. We derived the optimization problem for this model from a maximum likelihood perspective. Additionally, we presented specific implementation details for the iterative process, including the regularized optimization algorithm and the geometric search cross-validation tuning algorithm. Three distinct penalty methods, Lasso, Ridge, and Elastic-net regularization, were meticulously considered. Meanwhile, the proposed Theta-regularized Kriging models were tested on nine common numerical functions and two practical engineering examples. The results demonstrate that, compared with other penalized Kriging models, the proposed model performs better in terms of accuracy and stability.
title Theta-regularized Kriging: Modelling and Algorithms
topic Computation
Numerical Analysis
Applications
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.14975