Optimal algorithmic complexity of inference in quantum kernel methods

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Gil-Fuster, Elies, Shin, Seongwook, Jerbi, Sofiene, Eisert, Jens, Kramer, Maximilian J.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author Gil-Fuster, Elies
Shin, Seongwook
Jerbi, Sofiene
Eisert, Jens
Kramer, Maximilian J.
author_facet Gil-Fuster, Elies
Shin, Seongwook
Jerbi, Sofiene
Eisert, Jens
Kramer, Maximilian J.
contents Quantum kernel methods are among the leading candidates for achieving quantum advantage in supervised learning. A key bottleneck is the cost of inference: evaluating a trained model on new data requires estimating a weighted sum $\sum_{i=1}^N α_i k(x,x_i)$ of $N$ kernel values to additive precision $\varepsilon$, where $α$ is the vector of trained coefficients. The standard approach estimates each term independently via sampling, yielding a query complexity of $O(N\lVertα\rVert_2^2/\varepsilon^2)$. In this work, we identify two independent axes for improvement: (1) How individual kernel values are estimated (sampling versus quantum amplitude estimation), and (2) how the sum is approximated (term-by-term versus via a single observable), and systematically analyze all combinations thereof. The query-optimal combination, encoding the full inference sum as the expectation value of a single observable and applying quantum amplitude estimation, achieves a query complexity of $O(\lVertα\rVert_1/\varepsilon)$, removing the dependence on $N$ from the query count and yielding a quadratic improvement in both $\lVertα\rVert_1$ and $\varepsilon$. We prove a matching lower bound of $Ω(\lVertα\rVert_1/\varepsilon)$, establishing query-optimality of our approach up to logarithmic factors. Beyond query complexity, we also analyze how these improvements translate into gate costs and show that the query-optimal strategy is not always optimal in practice from the perspective of gate complexity. Our results provide both a query-optimal algorithm and a practically optimal choice of strategy depending on hardware capabilities, along with a complete landscape of intermediate methods to guide practitioners. All algorithms require only amplitude estimation as a subroutine and are thus natural candidates for early-fault-tolerant implementations.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_15214
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Optimal algorithmic complexity of inference in quantum kernel methods
Gil-Fuster, Elies
Shin, Seongwook
Jerbi, Sofiene
Eisert, Jens
Kramer, Maximilian J.
Quantum Physics
Machine Learning
Quantum kernel methods are among the leading candidates for achieving quantum advantage in supervised learning. A key bottleneck is the cost of inference: evaluating a trained model on new data requires estimating a weighted sum $\sum_{i=1}^N α_i k(x,x_i)$ of $N$ kernel values to additive precision $\varepsilon$, where $α$ is the vector of trained coefficients. The standard approach estimates each term independently via sampling, yielding a query complexity of $O(N\lVertα\rVert_2^2/\varepsilon^2)$. In this work, we identify two independent axes for improvement: (1) How individual kernel values are estimated (sampling versus quantum amplitude estimation), and (2) how the sum is approximated (term-by-term versus via a single observable), and systematically analyze all combinations thereof. The query-optimal combination, encoding the full inference sum as the expectation value of a single observable and applying quantum amplitude estimation, achieves a query complexity of $O(\lVertα\rVert_1/\varepsilon)$, removing the dependence on $N$ from the query count and yielding a quadratic improvement in both $\lVertα\rVert_1$ and $\varepsilon$. We prove a matching lower bound of $Ω(\lVertα\rVert_1/\varepsilon)$, establishing query-optimality of our approach up to logarithmic factors. Beyond query complexity, we also analyze how these improvements translate into gate costs and show that the query-optimal strategy is not always optimal in practice from the perspective of gate complexity. Our results provide both a query-optimal algorithm and a practically optimal choice of strategy depending on hardware capabilities, along with a complete landscape of intermediate methods to guide practitioners. All algorithms require only amplitude estimation as a subroutine and are thus natural candidates for early-fault-tolerant implementations.
title Optimal algorithmic complexity of inference in quantum kernel methods
topic Quantum Physics
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.15214