Bayesian inference constraints on jet quenching across centrality, beam energy, and observable classes in LHC heavy-ion collisions

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Main Authors: Kim, Dongguk, Kim, Dongjo, Bok, Jeongsu, Kim, Beomkyu
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author Kim, Dongguk
Kim, Dongjo
Bok, Jeongsu
Kim, Beomkyu
author_facet Kim, Dongguk
Kim, Dongjo
Bok, Jeongsu
Kim, Beomkyu
contents Jet quenching in heavy-ion collisions probes parton energy loss in the quark--gluon plasma (QGP), but the extracted transport properties may not be universally constrained across centrality, beam energy, and observable class. In this work, we perform an analysis of the compatibility and predictive transferability of Bayesian constraints obtained from a six-parameter JETSCAPE effective energy-loss model across these subsets. The model is calibrated to charged-hadron and inclusive-jet data from ALICE, ATLAS, and CMS in PbPb collisions at $\sqrt{s_{\mathrm{NN}}}=5.02$ and $2.76$ TeV. We find that centrality-dependent posteriors are largely compatible, whereas beam-energy and observable-class splits exhibit moderate shifts within overlapping credible regions, indicating that posterior overlap alone does not guarantee predictive universality. This is further examined by propagating subset posteriors to complementary datasets without refitting, where predictive performance varies across subsets. These results indicate that different observables probe distinct aspects of jet--medium interactions and motivate leading-hadron-selected jet observables to bridge hadron-biased and jet-inclusive constraints.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_15737
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Bayesian inference constraints on jet quenching across centrality, beam energy, and observable classes in LHC heavy-ion collisions
Kim, Dongguk
Kim, Dongjo
Bok, Jeongsu
Kim, Beomkyu
High Energy Physics - Phenomenology
Jet quenching in heavy-ion collisions probes parton energy loss in the quark--gluon plasma (QGP), but the extracted transport properties may not be universally constrained across centrality, beam energy, and observable class. In this work, we perform an analysis of the compatibility and predictive transferability of Bayesian constraints obtained from a six-parameter JETSCAPE effective energy-loss model across these subsets. The model is calibrated to charged-hadron and inclusive-jet data from ALICE, ATLAS, and CMS in PbPb collisions at $\sqrt{s_{\mathrm{NN}}}=5.02$ and $2.76$ TeV. We find that centrality-dependent posteriors are largely compatible, whereas beam-energy and observable-class splits exhibit moderate shifts within overlapping credible regions, indicating that posterior overlap alone does not guarantee predictive universality. This is further examined by propagating subset posteriors to complementary datasets without refitting, where predictive performance varies across subsets. These results indicate that different observables probe distinct aspects of jet--medium interactions and motivate leading-hadron-selected jet observables to bridge hadron-biased and jet-inclusive constraints.
title Bayesian inference constraints on jet quenching across centrality, beam energy, and observable classes in LHC heavy-ion collisions
topic High Energy Physics - Phenomenology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.15737