Statistical Validation of Computer Models: Global and Subdomain Hypothesis Testing

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Li, Chaoan, Zhang, Xianyang, Tuo, Rui
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
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author Li, Chaoan
Zhang, Xianyang
Tuo, Rui
author_facet Li, Chaoan
Zhang, Xianyang
Tuo, Rui
contents Computer simulations play an important role in scientific discovery and engineering innovation. Reliable computer models enable virtual experimentation that reduces the need for costly and time-consuming physical testing. However, the credibility of such models hinges on rigorous statistical validation against real-world data. This paper develops a formal frequentist framework for both global and subdomain validation of computer models. We propose the Fourier Maximum Modulus Test (FMMT), which leverages kernel ridge regression (KRR) to estimate the discrepancy between the computer model and the physical process, followed by a frequency-domain test based on weighted generalized Fourier coefficients. The theoretical analysis establishes the asymptotic normality of these coefficients, allowing for closed-form p-values. Simulation studies and a shear-layer experiment demonstrate that FMMT achieves high power, accurate Type I error control, and strong sensitivity to localized discrepancies.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_17144
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Statistical Validation of Computer Models: Global and Subdomain Hypothesis Testing
Li, Chaoan
Zhang, Xianyang
Tuo, Rui
Methodology
Computer simulations play an important role in scientific discovery and engineering innovation. Reliable computer models enable virtual experimentation that reduces the need for costly and time-consuming physical testing. However, the credibility of such models hinges on rigorous statistical validation against real-world data. This paper develops a formal frequentist framework for both global and subdomain validation of computer models. We propose the Fourier Maximum Modulus Test (FMMT), which leverages kernel ridge regression (KRR) to estimate the discrepancy between the computer model and the physical process, followed by a frequency-domain test based on weighted generalized Fourier coefficients. The theoretical analysis establishes the asymptotic normality of these coefficients, allowing for closed-form p-values. Simulation studies and a shear-layer experiment demonstrate that FMMT achieves high power, accurate Type I error control, and strong sensitivity to localized discrepancies.
title Statistical Validation of Computer Models: Global and Subdomain Hypothesis Testing
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.17144