Strategic Pricing and Consumer Welfare under One-Sided Price Regulation

Fuente: arXiv
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Autore principale: Denter, Philipp
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2026
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author Denter, Philipp
author_facet Denter, Philipp
contents Motivated by Germany's April 2026 fuel price regulation, in this note I study a two-period pricing problem with demand uncertainty and a rule that prohibits more than one price increase during the day. Under flexible pricing, the firm chooses the static monopoly price in each period. Under the regulation, by contrast, it may price strategically high in period 1 to preserve flexibility in period 2. I show that the regulation weakly raises expected average prices. The increase is strict when future high demand is sufficiently likely and the gap between high and low demand is large; otherwise, expected average prices are unchanged. Consumer surplus rises when expected prices do not, and decreases otherwise.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2604_17576
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Strategic Pricing and Consumer Welfare under One-Sided Price Regulation
Denter, Philipp
Theoretical Economics
Motivated by Germany's April 2026 fuel price regulation, in this note I study a two-period pricing problem with demand uncertainty and a rule that prohibits more than one price increase during the day. Under flexible pricing, the firm chooses the static monopoly price in each period. Under the regulation, by contrast, it may price strategically high in period 1 to preserve flexibility in period 2. I show that the regulation weakly raises expected average prices. The increase is strict when future high demand is sufficiently likely and the gap between high and low demand is large; otherwise, expected average prices are unchanged. Consumer surplus rises when expected prices do not, and decreases otherwise.
title Strategic Pricing and Consumer Welfare under One-Sided Price Regulation
topic Theoretical Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.17576